NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	106		Excitement	7.8 [275]		MVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): +16.6%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	2.7 [196]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -26.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17	0.24	-0.04	0.04	18	86%	0.20	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	12	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Graham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
David Wingate	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate McMillan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	75%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22	-0.12	-0.13	-0.04	8	32%	-0.13	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Gary Payton	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.09,-0.23	-0.11	-0.16	-0.04	23	45%	-0.13	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.18	-0.08	0.01	5	25%	-0.09	6	-0.18	2	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.02	14	72%	0.27	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Rex Chapman	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	14	76%	0.16	3	-0.09	5	20%	-0.11
Loren Meyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horacio Llamas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	9	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	12	54%	0.04	6	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.14,-0.27	-0.27	-0.05	-0.22	0.00	13	59%	-0.03	5	-0.23	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	25.2	15.4	26.4	1.8	33.0	127.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +43.8%

SEA -8.4%

PHX +9.3%

SEA -12.2%

PHX +17.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	14.2	15.3	15.6	108.2	110.3	104.4
season	14.9	14.6		108.9	106.8
opponent	15.6	16.2		106.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.4	17.0	13.0	13.9	14.2
PHX	13.8	15.0	13.2	20.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	34	35	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.08	7	-8	15	12.6	15.1	-2.49	13.8	16.2	-2.39
Sam Perkins	60	60	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.48	19	-20	39	12.8	16.4	-3.52	15.4	15.2	0.27
Larry Stewart	29	29	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-2	3	12.6	14.9	-2.36	14.0	15.9	-1.95
Craig Ehlo	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-2	3	7.0	14.3	-7.29	3.0	15.5	-12.46
Greg Graham	10	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.30	8	-9	17	9.7	14.7	-5.03	20.9	14.8	6.04
Nate McMillan	60	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.36	8	-9	17	15.1	12.8	2.33	16.0	14.3	1.71
Hersey Hawkins	90	88	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.52	6	-7	13	14.0	16.4	-2.35	15.8	10.4	5.39
Terry Cummings	38	39	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	13	-27	16.7	12.7	3.99	16.0	14.9	1.12
David Wingate	35	35	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.02	-17	16	-33	15.6	13.5	2.11	14.9	15.6	-0.74
Gary Payton	88	88	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.50	-3	2	-5	14.0	16.2	-2.21	15.2	16.7	-1.47
Shawn Kemp	45	44	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.13	-21	20	-41	16.0	12.7	3.30	14.7	15.8	-1.10

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	58	60	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.46	10	-9	19	16.3	13.8	2.48	14.9	13.1	1.85
Kevin Johnson	80	81	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.52	2	-1	3	15.6	13.9	1.68	13.9	15.8	-1.95
Jason Kidd	88	88	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.53	-5	6	-11	15.3	15.8	-0.49	13.7	19.0	-5.33
Rex Chapman	68	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	-1	3	14.0	18.4	-4.40	13.6	15.8	-2.20
Danny Manning	70	68	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.34	-5	6	-11	15.1	15.8	-0.67	13.9	14.9	-0.99
Horacio Llamas	7	5	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-5	11	11.4	15.6	-4.20	12.0	14.3	-2.33
Cedric Ceballos	15	16	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	0	1	14.3	15.5	-1.26	17.4	13.6	3.85
Steve Nash	0	1	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	-1	3	0.0	15.3	-15.33	0.0	14.4	-14.36
Hot Rod Williams	83	84	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.24	-7	8	-15	16.3	9.7	6.56	14.7	11.1	3.58
Loren Meyer	16	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	2	-3	14.7	15.5	-0.77	15.8	13.9	1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 93, VAN 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.9,0.98,0.92,0.84,1	93.3%
POR 95, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,0.85,1	92.9%
CLE 98, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.71,0.84,1,1	92.6%