NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	6.1 [590]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): +11.4%
Boston Celtics	105		Comeback	2.0 [767]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CLE): -20.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Henderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	14	65%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Mark Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	18	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Mark Hendrickson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	47%	-0.02	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Bob Sura	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	14	38%	-0.10	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	12	36%	-0.16	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.01	14	52%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	8	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	5	86%	0.09	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	0.03	18	59%	0.02	2	-0.04	18	89%	0.05
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	21	37%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	46.3	2.4	30.5	15.6	26.0	2.5	32.4	155.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.7%

BOS +15.1%

BOS +5.6%

CLE -6.2%

BOS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.5	15.2	102.1	108.2	101.7
season	14.1	14.7		98.0	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.3		103.3	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	14.5	14.7	17.5	15.4
BOS	14.8	13.8	13.0	16.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	48	50	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.25	14	-21	35	15.6	15.1	0.44	15.8	13.1	2.63
Cedric Henderson	23	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-8	9	16.2	15.1	1.12	17.8	13.4	4.39
Brevin Knight	69	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-9	11	15.2	15.7	-0.52	14.9	13.5	1.38
Bob Sura	68	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-8	9	15.0	16.3	-1.35	14.0	15.6	-1.52
Wesley Person	28	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	1	-9	16.3	15.0	1.35	15.2	14.2	0.99
Shawn Kemp	65	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-6	5	14.9	16.3	-1.41	14.9	13.5	1.43
Lamond Murray	77	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-3	-1	15.2	16.0	-0.79	13.7	17.4	-3.74
Andre Miller	27	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	2	-11	15.7	15.2	0.52	13.5	14.9	-1.38
Mark Hendrickson	28	26	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.01	-13	6	-19	15.8	15.2	0.64	12.8	15.1	-2.34
Andrew DeClercq	47	45	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.08	-18	11	-29	15.3	15.4	-0.05	13.2	15.6	-2.40

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	89	87	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-1	9	14.2	18.1	-3.97	15.4	15.0	0.40
Kenny Anderson	76	76	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	3	1	14.6	13.9	0.74	15.9	13.4	2.48
Tony Battie	28	26	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	-2	11	13.6	14.8	-1.18	16.2	15.1	1.08
Danny Fortson	16	20	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	0	7	12.7	14.8	-2.08	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Eric Williams	14	16	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.05	9	-2	11	12.3	14.9	-2.57	16.1	15.2	0.84
Antoine Walker	85	83	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	5	-3	15.2	9.4	5.78	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Paul Pierce	86	83	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	7	-7	14.9	11.1	3.83	15.6	13.9	1.67
Calbert Cheaney	17	18	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	5	-3	12.2	15.0	-2.73	14.4	15.6	-1.13
Doug Overton	21	20	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	4	-1	13.9	14.6	-0.74	13.4	15.9	-2.48
Vitaly Potapenko	53	51	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	16	-25	15.5	13.3	2.13	14.9	15.9	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.71,0.84,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 106, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.78,0.85,1	92.6%
CHI 89, TOR 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.95,1	92.4%
SAS 85, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.96,0.96,1	92.2%