NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	82		Excitement	7.6 [348]		MVP	Kay Felder (CLE): +15.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Comeback	4.5 [622]		LVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): -19.1%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	13	67%	0.22	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.05
Terrence Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	11	46%	0.07	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Langston Galloway	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.00	5	60%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.07	-0.03	27	36%	-0.12	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kay Felder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.11	0.00	11	55%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	9	70%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.04	0.09	-0.04	21	50%	0.20	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.04
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	9	57%	0.13	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	19%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	19	29%	-0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	26.3	14.8	25.2	2.5	31.8	126.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +12.0%

CLE +14.8%

CLE +17.1%

CLE +6.6%

NOP -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CLE	NBA	NOP	CLE	NBA
this game	13.3	16.1	14.8	83.7	91.8	107.7
season	14.1	14.9		104.1	113.5
opponent	14.7	15.0		109.6	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.3	14.4	12.9	13.9	13.3
CLE	15.0	15.0	16.4	18.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	71	73	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.29	8	-16	24	12.8	14.6	-1.75	16.6	14.5	2.07
Dante Cunningham	66	67	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-14	20	12.9	14.2	-1.23	16.5	15.1	1.41
Buddy Hield	70	71	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.30	6	-14	20	12.8	14.6	-1.74	16.4	15.1	1.36
Anthony Davis	82	82	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-11	14	12.7	16.4	-3.72	16.4	14.2	2.24
Solomon Hill	56	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-1	-6	14.3	12.0	2.24	15.9	16.3	-0.39
Terrence Jones	38	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	0	-8	13.5	13.2	0.33	14.4	17.2	-2.78
Langston Galloway	27	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	4	-16	14.6	12.8	1.75	15.2	16.3	-1.10
E'Twaun Moore	41	39	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.07	-16	8	-24	14.1	12.8	1.33	16.1	16.0	0.07
Tyreke Evans	39	38	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.11	-20	12	-32	13.8	13.0	0.78	15.2	16.6	-1.35

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	57	56	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.25	22	-14	36	16.4	15.6	0.82	13.7	12.8	0.95
Iman Shumpert	64	63	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.27	20	-12	32	15.9	16.4	-0.45	13.2	13.6	-0.47
Kay Felder	44	45	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.25	12	-4	16	15.8	16.3	-0.52	13.7	13.0	0.67
Channing Frye	51	51	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-9	26	14.8	17.4	-2.58	14.0	12.6	1.49
James Jones	16	16	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	-1	10	14.7	16.3	-1.64	14.0	13.2	0.80
LeBron James	79	79	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	12	-16	16.4	14.6	1.84	12.8	15.4	-2.53
Kevin Love	51	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	6	-4	16.0	16.1	-0.13	13.7	13.0	0.68
Tristan Thompson	58	59	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.27	-17	25	-42	16.6	15.3	1.29	12.4	14.7	-2.35
Jordan McRae	32	33	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.05	-9	17	-26	16.3	15.9	0.37	13.7	13.1	0.56
DeAndre Liggins	38	38	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.00	-12	20	-32	16.7	15.6	1.06	13.1	13.5	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 91, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.82,0.85,0.72,0.85,1,1	92.8%
MEM 78, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	92.6%
VAN 91, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.96,1	92.5%