NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	91		Excitement	7.7 [264]		MVP	Courtney Lee (NJN): +40.1%
New Jersey Nets	97		Comeback	3.1 [483]		LVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): -25.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.29	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.21	0.11	0.02	14	87%	0.32	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.17,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	23	52%	0.16	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	68%	0.09	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.02
Ronald Murray	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	-0.00	9	23%	-0.15	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.06
Boris Diaw	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.10	-0.16	-0.00	6	27%	-0.04	3	-0.21	3	67%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.22	0.21	0.03	16	75%	0.40	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	22	61%	0.18	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.06	-0.00	12	23%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	11	35%	-0.06	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	14	39%	-0.07	1	-0.03	13	85%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.0	35.0	15.4	26.9	2.5	38.4	146.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA -23.6%

NJN +30.4%

CHA -3.4%

NJN +37.9%

NJN +8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NJN	NBA	CHA	NJN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.3	15.3	95.8	101.0	106.0
season	16.2	15.9		103.0	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		108.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.9	15.8	13.1	14.8	14.9
NJN	13.5	14.2	16.3	17.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	73	74	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-12	18	14.5	16.2	-1.70	15.4	14.9	0.48
Gerald Wallace	84	83	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-9	12	14.7	16.1	-1.38	15.1	16.7	-1.63
Raymond Felton	69	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-9	12	15.0	14.5	0.46	15.8	13.7	2.10
Ronald Murray	35	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	0	-6	14.9	14.9	0.02	15.1	15.4	-0.34
Nazr Mohammed	22	21	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	6	-18	16.2	14.5	1.70	15.6	15.2	0.43
Stephen Graham	25	25	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	6	-18	16.3	14.4	1.96	16.1	15.0	1.13
Boris Diaw	81	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-3	0	14.6	16.5	-1.91	15.2	15.5	-0.25
Stephen Jackson	86	87	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	3	-12	14.8	15.9	-1.12	14.8	20.3	-5.57

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	32	33	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-8	22	15.6	15.1	0.42	16.2	14.2	2.05
Courtney Lee	64	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	1	4	15.8	14.3	1.50	15.7	13.1	2.64
Chris Douglas-Roberts	73	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	0	6	15.0	16.3	-1.29	15.0	14.5	0.56
Brook Lopez	82	79	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	4	-2	14.7	18.4	-3.68	14.9	14.9	-0.08
Terrence Williams	44	44	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	0	6	15.7	15.0	0.70	14.4	15.3	-0.91
Keyon Dooling	31	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	1	4	15.5	15.2	0.25	14.2	15.2	-1.08
Devin Harris	76	73	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.30	-4	10	-14	14.9	16.8	-1.98	14.6	15.8	-1.17
Josh Boone	66	67	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.25	-6	12	-18	16.0	13.7	2.30	14.3	16.3	-2.05
Tony Battie	12	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	4	-2	14.2	15.4	-1.18	14.6	14.9	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.82,0.85,0.72,0.85,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 82, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.97,1,1	92.8%
VAN 78, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.72,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	92.6%
LAC 85, HOU 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,1	92.0%