NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	6.9 [418]		MVP	Steve Francis (HOU): +17.1%
Houston Rockets	90		Comeback	2.6 [677]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -16.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	8	62%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	73%	0.09	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	64%	0.04	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Corey Maggette	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	15	60%	0.04	4	-0.11	13	77%	-0.03
Chris Wilcox	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.13	0.02	-0.02	11	32%	0.03	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	6	33%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	14	52%	-0.02	4	-0.15	3	67%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.12	0.02	15	73%	0.27	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	10	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	12	53%	0.03	2	-0.08	12	92%	0.07
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	9	48%	-0.00	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	12	47%	-0.04	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.3	30.4	16.4	28.4	0.7	35.5	135.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +3.3%

HOU +7.3%

HOU +19.1%

HOU +15.6%

HOU +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	15.7	90.4	95.7	100.5
season	15.5	16.5		101.3	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		97.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.9	13.4	15.8	16.3	14.5
HOU	15.9	15.4	15.5	18.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	18	17	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-7	9	12.8	14.9	-2.05	17.6	15.8	1.76
Predrag Drobnjak	36	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-6	7	15.7	13.8	1.91	15.2	16.7	-1.56
Chris Kaman	52	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	1	-7	15.1	13.7	1.36	17.0	15.0	2.01
Eddie House	78	80	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-3	1	14.7	13.6	1.04	15.8	18.0	-2.17
Corey Maggette	86	86	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-5	5	13.9	20.5	-6.57	15.9	19.1	-3.25
Keyon Dooling	68	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-6	7	14.4	14.8	-0.39	15.9	16.8	-0.86
Matt Barnes	11	11	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	4	-13	16.3	14.3	2.02	17.7	15.9	1.79
Elton Brand	72	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-3	1	14.1	15.7	-1.62	16.5	15.1	1.41
Bobby Simmons	49	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	5	-15	14.6	14.4	0.21	15.9	16.4	-0.51

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	41	41	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.32	15	-10	25	16.1	16.2	-0.13	15.4	13.8	1.60
Maurice Taylor	64	63	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.39	11	-6	17	16.0	16.5	-0.56	15.0	13.5	1.40
Steve Francis	91	92	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-2	9	15.9	22.7	-6.73	14.5	14.0	0.50
Jim Jackson	78	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	3	-1	16.5	14.3	2.21	14.5	14.4	0.11
Yao Ming	63	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	0	5	16.3	15.7	0.61	14.2	15.1	-0.84
Clar. Weatherspoon	28	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	3	-1	15.1	16.6	-1.43	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Adrian Griffin	12	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	12	-19	18.2	15.8	2.41	11.5	14.9	-3.44
Cuttino Mobley	60	59	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	7	-9	15.6	17.1	-1.47	14.4	14.7	-0.27
Kelvin Cato	33	34	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.05	-8	13	-21	17.0	15.7	1.26	14.2	14.7	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	93.7%
LAL 103, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.52,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	93.3%
CLE 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	93.0%