NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	6.4 [496]		MVP	Bobby Simmons (MIL): +18.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	110		Comeback	2.7 [304]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -22.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.17	0.11	0.08	0.02	18	57%	0.20	1	-0.03	11	100%	0.06
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	6	72%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	7	78%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Luke Walton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	7	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.06	0.01	10	59%	0.11	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Farmar	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	8	33%	-0.01	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	11	31%	-0.13	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.12	0.02	5	79%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Michael Redd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.01	18	55%	0.21	2	-0.09	11	82%	0.04
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	11	54%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	17	50%	0.13	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.4	30.6	19.7	29.0	2.6	46.3	158.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +52.4%

LAL -14.7%

MIL +12.5%

LAL -7.3%

MIL +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIL	NBA	LAL	MIL	NBA
this game	13.2	16.2	15.4	105.1	112.2	105.7
season	14.6	15.8		110.6	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.2		110.7	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.7	15.7	13.6	12.1	13.2
MIL	17.1	17.0	15.2	15.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	57	59	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.25	14	-21	35	12.1	14.6	-2.49	16.7	15.5	1.23
Ronny Turiaf	17	16	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.00	2	-9	11	15.7	12.7	3.05	14.0	16.6	-2.63
Andrew Bynum	54	54	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-10	13	13.0	13.5	-0.49	17.2	15.0	2.14
Derek Fisher	62	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.20	4	-11	15	12.3	14.7	-2.34	17.2	14.5	2.69
Sasha Vujacic	25	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	2	-11	16.0	12.2	3.83	17.4	15.8	1.55
Jordan Farmar	36	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	4	-15	14.7	12.3	2.34	14.5	17.2	-2.69
Chris Mihm	31	31	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	3	-13	14.6	12.5	2.14	15.3	16.6	-1.29
Luke Walton	40	38	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.20	-9	2	-11	12.2	13.8	-1.62	13.9	17.7	-3.81
Kobe Bryant	87	88	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.25	-8	1	-9	13.1	13.8	-0.71	16.1	17.1	-1.00
Lamar Odom	81	81	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	4	-15	12.7	15.7	-3.05	16.8	13.2	3.59

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Redd	85	85	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.29	13	-6	19	16.5	14.2	2.28	13.2	13.4	-0.23
Andrew Bogut	46	46	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.22	12	-5	17	17.1	15.4	1.70	15.0	11.6	3.42
Bobby Simmons	50	51	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	0	7	14.8	17.6	-2.78	12.5	13.9	-1.36
Charlie Villanueva	60	60	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	2	3	15.6	17.1	-1.47	12.9	13.7	-0.77
Mo Williams	87	87	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.39	-2	9	-11	16.2	16.3	-0.08	12.4	19.3	-6.86
Royal Ivey	22	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.11	8	-1	9	16.3	16.2	0.09	16.9	12.2	4.73
Charlie Bell	17	18	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	2	3	15.8	16.3	-0.46	16.4	12.4	3.99
Yi Jianlian	47	47	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	4	-1	15.7	16.7	-0.96	12.4	13.9	-1.46
Jake Voskuhl	21	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	10	-13	15.2	16.5	-1.23	13.2	13.2	0.04
Dan Gadzuric	16	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	13	-19	16.7	16.1	0.58	10.4	13.7	-3.29
Desmond Mason	39	38	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.01	-7	14	-21	18.2	14.9	3.28	12.7	13.5	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.52,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	94.2%
LAC 85, HOU 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,1	93.3%
SAS 79, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	92.8%