NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	78		Excitement	6.2 [546]		MVP	Walt Williams (HOU): +15.7%
Houston Rockets	85		Comeback	3.7 [499]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -24.6%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Dickerson	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	12	67%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	6	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	-0.07	0.03	-0.05	15	50%	0.12	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Edwards	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	4	-0.15	6	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	12	42%	-0.05	5	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.11	-0.01	10	62%	0.23	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.03	1	-0.05	14	79%	0.02
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	16	56%	0.17	6	-0.20	2	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	17	57%	0.07	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	2	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Shandon Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	7	57%	0.03	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	28.7	15.7	22.5	2.4	35.4	133.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +12.6%

HOU +14.0%

HOU +14.6%

HOU +0.3%

HOU +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	HOU	NBA	VAN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	16.7	15.5	87.6	95.5	100.9
season	15.6	16.3		97.4	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.1	16.5	15.3	15.6	15.6
HOU	17.6	14.8	16.7	17.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Reeves	43	44	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-9	11	15.9	15.3	0.58	17.5	16.0	1.48
Stromile Swift	7	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-5	3	15.1	15.7	-0.53	14.7	16.9	-2.21
Kevin Edwards	16	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-4	1	15.7	15.6	0.07	14.7	17.1	-2.40
Damon Jones	30	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-5	3	14.2	16.4	-2.21	16.1	17.0	-0.93
Ike Austin	34	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-3	-1	16.7	15.0	1.69	14.7	17.9	-3.23
Othella Harrington	68	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-7	7	15.0	17.8	-2.79	17.1	15.2	1.93
Grant Long	33	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	0	-7	16.9	14.9	2.03	15.5	17.4	-1.88
Michael Dickerson	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	15.6	15.7	-0.07	17.1	14.7	2.40
Mike Bibby	68	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.34	-6	-1	-5	15.8	15.2	0.57	17.4	14.5	2.88
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.28	-9	2	-11	15.5	16.1	-0.60	17.2	14.9	2.21

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	59	59	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	-3	13	16.6	17.1	-0.51	15.6	15.7	-0.06
Walt Williams	56	56	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.28	10	-3	13	16.8	16.7	0.10	15.6	15.7	-0.16
Kenny Thomas	37	36	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.26	9	-2	11	16.3	17.0	-0.69	16.1	15.3	0.81
Steve Francis	77	78	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	2	3	17.1	14.4	2.67	15.3	17.7	-2.39
Jason Collier	37	38	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	2	3	16.1	17.2	-1.02	16.2	15.2	0.97
Maurice Taylor	62	62	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	6	-5	17.6	14.6	3.02	14.8	17.6	-2.77
Moochie Norris	12	11	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	5	-3	14.4	17.1	-2.67	17.7	15.3	2.39
Hakeem Olajuwon	42	42	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	16.3	17.1	-0.89	16.0	15.3	0.61
Matt Bullard	22	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	9	-11	17.7	16.4	1.32	15.6	15.6	-0.05
Shandon Anderson	41	41	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	11	-15	16.4	17.0	-0.63	15.8	15.5	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.72,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 75, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,1	93.6%
NJN 93, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.26,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.81,0.92,1,1,1	93.5%
CHH 76, PHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.32,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.67,0.78,0.94,0.96,1	92.9%