NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	6.9 [250]		MVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): +17.3%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	3.2 [486]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -29.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	15	63%	0.17	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.01	13	48%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
William Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Mark Hendrickson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	60%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Jamie Feick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.02	8	68%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	3	10%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Stephon Marbury	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.2,-0.29,-0.31,-0.31,-0.29	-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	22	40%	-0.23	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.06

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	10	75%	0.22	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	7	78%	0.09	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.06
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	12	67%	0.16	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.02	0.04	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	11	45%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.02	14	81%	0.21	6	-0.20	3	33%	-0.05
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	7	0%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	24.6	15.4	25.2	1.8	33.3	125.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +60.6%

NJN -4.1%

DET +1.8%

NJN -10.1%

DET +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	16.3	16.6	15.8	106.9	114.8	99.6
season	15.0	16.6		96.5	101.4
opponent	16.1	15.6		97.9	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.0	15.7	16.4	18.4	16.3
DET	14.4	17.0	18.8	16.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
William Cunningham	7	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-7	6	12.9	16.6	-3.74	19.6	16.3	3.31
Kerry Kittles	68	68	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-11	14	16.4	15.8	0.65	15.7	19.6	-3.93
Elliot Perry	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-7	6	15.4	16.5	-1.07	18.4	16.3	2.08
Chris Carr	17	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-5	2	16.4	16.3	0.14	18.1	16.2	1.81
Mark Hendrickson	68	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-6	4	15.8	18.2	-2.38	16.4	17.4	-1.07
Kendall Gill	65	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	0	-8	16.0	17.3	-1.36	16.6	16.5	0.09
Stephon Marbury	74	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	16.5	15.4	1.07	16.3	18.4	-2.08
Jamie Feick	80	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	-1	-6	16.6	12.9	3.74	16.3	19.6	-3.31
Lucious Harris	39	40	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.28	-13	5	-18	17.7	15.1	2.57	17.7	15.7	1.99

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	54	54	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.12	18	-10	28	16.8	16.3	0.57	17.3	14.6	2.73
Grant Hill	66	66	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-4	16	16.1	18.0	-1.91	16.9	14.3	2.65
Jud Buechler	44	44	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	2	4	17.3	16.0	1.32	17.0	15.6	1.46
Jerome Williams	73	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	2	4	16.4	17.5	-1.03	16.7	14.5	2.21
Joe Dumars	53	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	4	0	16.5	16.9	-0.40	16.3	16.2	0.08
Bison Dele	41	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	8	-8	16.5	16.7	-0.19	16.3	16.3	-0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	47	46	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	6	-4	17.1	16.1	0.97	15.0	17.8	-2.80
Christian Laettner	22	20	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	8	-8	19.1	15.8	3.36	15.0	16.7	-1.69
Don Reid	27	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.07	-3	11	-14	15.6	17.1	-1.53	15.0	16.9	-1.85
Charles O'Bannon	13	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	13	-18	14.2	17.0	-2.89	13.4	16.8	-3.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.26,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.81,0.92,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	93.5%
VAN 78, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.72,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	93.5%
NJN 88, LAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.3%