NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	6.8 [440]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +11.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	94		Comeback	3.0 [660]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -34.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.01	16	56%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	6	25%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	9	52%	-0.01	1	-0.07	3	33%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.14	-0.09	0.02	19	39%	-0.18	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.2,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.33,-0.34,-0.34	-0.12	-0.22	0.00	22	43%	-0.19	4	-0.15	5	80%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.07	-0.04	17	46%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	6	67%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	19	62%	0.05	2	-0.06	14	71%	-0.04
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	47%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	7	25%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.7	31.2	17.7	29.3	4.4	36.5	147.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +42.9%

LAL +7.1%

NJN -14.5%

LAL +12.7%

LAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	LAL	NBA	NJN	LAL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.8	15.7	95.7	101.1	100.5
season	15.3	15.4		98.1	102.8
opponent	15.6	16.2		99.0	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	17.3	13.8	19.2	16.4
LAL	16.2	14.6	13.8	14.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	26	26	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.07	0	-6	6	15.0	16.9	-1.94	16.1	14.2	1.89
Brandon Armstrong	29	28	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-10	14	18.5	15.4	3.10	16.1	14.2	1.94
Brian Scalabrine	15	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-7	8	16.7	16.3	0.33	15.5	14.6	0.91
Rodney Rogers	37	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-10	14	17.0	16.0	0.97	13.6	15.6	-1.98
Aaron Williams	29	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	4	-14	16.9	16.2	0.74	15.1	14.6	0.46
Richard Jefferson	83	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	0	-6	16.4	16.2	0.19	14.8	14.5	0.28
Kerry Kittles	83	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	1	-8	16.0	20.0	-4.00	14.5	17.2	-2.73
Kenyon Martin	83	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	3	-12	16.4	16.1	0.31	14.8	14.4	0.35
Lucious Harris	75	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	1	-8	15.9	18.6	-2.69	14.3	16.6	-2.24

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	51	50	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.40	10	-4	14	13.6	16.1	-2.49	17.5	15.0	2.47
Kareem Rush	59	58	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	3	0	14.7	14.8	-0.02	17.5	14.5	3.05
Shaquille O'Neal	80	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	1	4	14.7	14.8	-0.11	15.6	20.7	-5.10
Gary Payton	82	82	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	3	0	15.1	12.3	2.81	16.4	16.1	0.33
Luke Walton	31	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	6	-6	13.1	15.6	-2.53	15.6	16.8	-1.22
Brian Cook	34	35	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	0	6	14.9	14.6	0.30	17.6	15.7	1.90
Derek Fisher	45	44	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	0	6	14.2	15.3	-1.16	14.8	17.8	-2.97
Slava Medvedenko	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	3	0	16.8	13.3	3.49	17.9	15.3	2.65
Bryon Russell	9	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	4	-2	17.8	14.4	3.35	16.5	16.4	0.12
Rick Fox	36	34	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.02	-8	14	-22	14.7	14.8	-0.05	14.3	17.6	-3.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.86,0.96,0.98,1,1	94.4%
PHI 88, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	93.6%
PHI 75, CHH 84	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.98,1	93.3%