NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	7.0 [457]		MVP	Marcus Morris (BOS): +30.6%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	2.4 [275]		LVP	CJ Miles (TOR): -16.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.05	-0.04	7	94%	0.19	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.05	0.02	19	67%	0.28	2	-0.10	10	80%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	8	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jakob Poeltl	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	13	39%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Delon Wright	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.05	-0.03	6	20%	-0.03	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.16	-0.03	15	61%	0.31	1	-0.00	11	91%	0.06
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.01	10	56%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Jayson Tatum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.03	16	67%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	17	55%	0.04	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	10	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Bird	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Xavier Silas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kadeem Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.7	26.4	15.4	30.5	2.5	37.5	136.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +3.9%

BOS +14.0%

BOS +0.2%

BOS +33.1%

TOR -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	14.7	104.2	113.4	107.5
season	14.6	15.1		112.7	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.8		103.5	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.9	13.3	15.2	15.2	14.7
BOS	15.8	18.0	13.6	14.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
OG Anunoby	39	38	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-9	7	15.4	14.1	1.27	15.7	15.1	0.67
Fred VanVleet	35	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-11	11	15.1	14.4	0.62	15.9	15.0	0.91
Serge Ibaka	63	65	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-9	7	14.9	14.1	0.81	16.0	14.0	1.94
Jonas Valanciunas	50	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-8	5	14.7	14.6	0.12	15.5	15.2	0.27
Delon Wright	22	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-8	5	16.0	14.3	1.68	15.1	15.4	-0.26
Jakob Poeltl	38	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-7	3	15.0	14.4	0.56	15.1	15.5	-0.35
Norman Powell	14	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-8	5	15.1	14.6	0.48	15.0	15.4	-0.40
CJ Miles	41	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-2	-7	13.8	15.4	-1.60	14.4	16.0	-1.60
DeMar DeRozan	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	14.3	16.0	-1.68	15.4	15.1	0.26
Kyle Lowry	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	-1	-9	14.3	15.7	-1.40	15.7	14.6	1.11
Pascal Siakam	32	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	0	-11	14.1	14.9	-0.81	13.7	16.2	-2.52

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	69	68	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.14	21	-10	31	14.9	16.4	-1.54	15.2	13.3	1.91
Terry Rozier	75	73	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	0	11	15.1	16.0	-0.87	14.8	14.3	0.45
Al Horford	67	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.15	10	1	9	14.8	16.5	-1.65	14.5	15.0	-0.49
Jayson Tatum	68	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	4	3	15.1	15.8	-0.66	14.4	15.2	-0.83
Semi Ojeleye	34	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	9	-7	17.9	14.0	3.88	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Jaylen Brown	61	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	11	-11	16.2	13.9	2.25	14.4	15.1	-0.77
Abdel Nader	15	15	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	7	-3	11.5	16.0	-4.49	15.1	14.6	0.56
Greg Monroe	33	32	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	10	-9	15.5	15.3	0.19	15.6	14.2	1.45
Jabari Bird	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	2.0	15.5	-13.47	6.0	14.8	-8.76
Xavier Silas	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	2.0	15.5	-13.47	6.0	14.8	-8.76
Kadeem Allen	15	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	10	-9	15.2	15.4	-0.15	14.3	14.7	-0.42
Aron Baynes	46	46	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	13	-15	16.2	14.6	1.56	14.6	14.8	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.86,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 88, LAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.4%
POR 83, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
NJN 99, TOR 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.9,0.97,1,1	93.2%