NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	99		Excitement	7.5 [316]		MVP	Tracy Murray (TOR): +32.6%
Toronto Raptors	110		Comeback	3.8 [685]		LVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): -15.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	8	56%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.01	11	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Evan Eschmeyer	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.07	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	18	60%	0.06	3	-0.08	9	67%	0.00
Eddie Gill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.10	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	45%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Mark Strickland	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.13	-0.01	13	58%	-0.07	3	-0.08	12	92%	0.06

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.19	0.14	0.00	11	91%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	7	76%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	15	68%	0.15	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.09	0.00	31	44%	0.13	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	11	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	7	59%	-0.05	3	-0.11	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	26.5	16.5	25.3	2.8	31.1	130.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +41.6%

NJN -30.8%

TOR +29.7%

TOR +5.0%

TOR +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.5	107.6	119.6	100.9
season	15.5	15.8		97.8	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.1		101.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.0	13.9	17.1	16.5	15.4
TOR	16.5	16.8	13.4	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	3	4	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-13	15	16.0	15.3	0.65	9.2	16.2	-6.99
Evan Eschmeyer	37	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-9	7	15.4	15.4	-0.03	16.5	15.5	0.97
Doug Overton	70	70	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-13	15	14.8	17.1	-2.26	16.0	15.8	0.21
Lucious Harris	53	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-3	-5	15.3	15.4	-0.07	16.3	15.5	0.85
Mark Strickland	46	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	-4	-3	15.5	15.2	0.35	16.0	15.8	0.22
Keith Van Horn	89	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-5	-1	15.4	14.3	1.07	16.1	12.0	4.07
Eddie Gill	22	22	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	2	-15	17.1	14.8	2.26	15.8	16.0	-0.21
Aaron Williams	59	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	2	-15	15.0	16.0	-0.94	15.7	16.4	-0.72
Johnny Newman	81	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	-1	-9	15.5	14.5	0.94	15.7	17.4	-1.62

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	55	54	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.09	28	-17	45	16.3	15.4	0.84	15.9	14.6	1.30
Tracy Murray	46	45	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	2	7	15.2	16.7	-1.48	15.4	15.3	0.06
Alvin Williams	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.09	15	-4	19	15.7	16.9	-1.26	15.4	15.3	0.05
Chris Childs	49	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	0	11	16.3	15.5	0.79	15.6	15.1	0.52
Vince Carter	82	82	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	8	-5	16.2	13.7	2.51	15.5	14.6	0.86
Antonio Davis	56	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	14	-17	16.0	15.9	0.12	15.2	15.6	-0.42
Charles Oakley	65	66	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.19	9	2	7	16.3	15.0	1.27	15.1	16.0	-0.83
Keon Clark	11	12	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	19	-27	12.5	16.4	-3.85	13.7	15.6	-1.86
Morris Peterson	22	23	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.03	-9	20	-29	16.1	15.9	0.21	15.1	15.5	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.9,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.86,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.2%
PHX 92, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.84,0.96,0.97,1	92.7%
MEM 98, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.99,1	92.6%