NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	6.9 [479]		MVP	Davis Bertans (SAS): +28.1%
San Antonio Spurs	100		Comeback	2.5 [836]		LVP	JaMychal Green (MEM): -18.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivan Rabb	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobi Simmons	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	10	65%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06	0.12	-0.00	0.06	13	74%	0.15	2	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Myke Henry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	17	60%	0.10	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Rathan-Mayes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	10	38%	-0.03	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.04	-0.12	0.03	12	58%	-0.00	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.17	0.01	9	68%	0.28	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.11	0.15	-0.01	14	72%	0.31	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	9	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	65%	0.14	2	-0.12	7	71%	-0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	8	35%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.03	0.02	4	20%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	0.8	25.9	12.8	26.2	2.4	31.8	125.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +17.1%

SAS +16.6%

MEM -8.1%

SAS +29.2%

MEM -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	14.6	14.5	14.7	99.0	101.0	107.5
season	15.4	15.5		103.4	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.6		104.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.6	14.4	15.3	16.0	14.6
SAS	15.6	16.3	16.0	10.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	29	30	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-3	4	14.1	14.8	-0.73	17.4	13.2	4.20
Wayne Selden	27	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-5	8	18.0	13.3	4.75	14.1	14.7	-0.52
Ivan Rabb	30	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-1	0	13.3	15.1	-1.84	17.5	13.3	4.18
Deyonta Davis	22	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	2	-6	15.8	14.2	1.53	16.4	14.0	2.44
Kobi Simmons	51	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-5	8	15.8	13.2	2.59	14.8	14.1	0.70
Myke Henry	60	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-3	4	13.6	16.1	-2.50	13.3	16.5	-3.16
Marc Gasol	77	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.46	2	-4	6	14.2	15.8	-1.53	14.0	16.4	-2.44
JaMychal Green	69	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-1	0	15.1	13.3	1.84	13.3	17.5	-4.18
Xavier Rathan-Mayes	55	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	9	-20	13.7	15.7	-2.10	14.0	15.1	-1.11
Dillon Brooks	75	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.45	-3	1	-4	14.2	15.9	-1.76	14.6	14.3	0.31

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	57	58	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.43	8	-6	14	12.7	16.9	-4.21	13.9	15.6	-1.75
Davis Bertans	40	42	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-14	30	11.7	16.4	-4.66	15.8	13.7	2.17
Manu Ginobili	41	42	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-12	26	13.6	15.1	-1.53	14.6	14.6	0.06
Danny Green	55	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	3	-4	14.2	14.9	-0.73	13.8	15.6	-1.85
Pau Gasol	48	50	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	-3	8	14.1	14.9	-0.78	14.7	14.5	0.15
Bryn Forbes	9	9	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	1	0	13.3	14.6	-1.29	21.3	13.9	7.42
Kyle Anderson	54	53	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	6	-10	14.1	15.0	-0.87	14.8	14.4	0.40
Joffrey Lauvergne	15	14	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	3	-4	16.1	14.2	1.92	12.6	14.9	-2.26
Patty Mills	48	47	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.23	-8	10	-18	15.5	13.5	1.97	14.7	14.5	0.22
LaMarcus Aldridge	65	63	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.24	-9	11	-20	15.2	13.3	1.89	14.6	14.5	0.13
Rudy Gay	28	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	8	-14	17.8	13.2	4.62	13.8	14.9	-1.12
Dejounte Murray	35	34	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.03	-5	7	-12	17.7	12.8	4.88	14.6	14.6	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 77, CLE 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.92,1	93.2%
NJN 99, TOR 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.6%
UTA 85, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.95,0.85,0.85,0.96,1	92.5%