NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	7.6 [315]		MVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): +15.3%
Houston Rockets	91		Comeback	2.4 [602]		LVP	Charles Barkley (HOU): -17.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	21	62%	0.15	3	-0.10	10	60%	-0.04
John Stockton	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	13	69%	0.19	4	-0.16	6	83%	0.04
Greg Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	7	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Chris Morris	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Bryon Russell	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	9	22%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	2	37%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Antoine Carr	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	5	8%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	11	36%	-0.09	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	27	58%	0.18	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.05
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	10	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	10	54%	0.09	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.08	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	6	36%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	4	47%	-0.02	3	-0.09	7	71%	0.01
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	12	29%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	0.1	32.4	15.8	30.1	2.4	29.6	134.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +20.1%

HOU +12.8%

HOU +21.2%

UTA -3.3%

UTA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	14.0	16.8	15.6	91.4	96.8	104.4
season	15.6	15.5		110.8	107.2
opponent	15.4	16.0		103.0	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.2	13.2	13.8	15.8	14.0
HOU	17.5	18.1	16.2	15.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	19	17	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-7	8	12.8	14.3	-1.44	14.6	17.3	-2.63
Jeff Hornacek	65	66	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-10	14	13.7	14.7	-1.09	16.8	16.8	-0.03
Greg Ostertag	48	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-5	4	14.7	13.2	1.44	17.7	15.9	1.89
Antoine Carr	33	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-3	0	12.5	14.8	-2.24	17.1	16.7	0.40
Bryon Russell	73	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-7	8	14.1	13.7	0.30	16.7	17.2	-0.51
Karl Malone	75	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-4	2	14.3	12.7	1.57	16.6	17.6	-0.98
Greg Foster	26	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-2	-2	12.6	14.5	-1.91	17.5	16.5	1.04
Chris Morris	19	21	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	2	-10	12.7	14.3	-1.57	16.4	16.9	-0.54
Adam Keefe	33	32	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	5	-16	16.0	12.9	3.16	15.5	17.5	-1.97
John Stockton	74	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	1	-8	14.3	12.8	1.44	17.3	14.6	2.63

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emanual Davis	42	44	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-6	18	15.9	17.5	-1.66	14.3	13.7	0.54
Matt Bullard	39	37	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-3	12	15.1	18.0	-2.94	15.0	13.3	1.63
Hakeem Olajuwon	64	62	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-1	8	17.0	16.5	0.49	14.2	13.6	0.56
Mario Elie	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	-2	10	16.4	18.2	-1.84	14.6	11.7	2.90
Charles Barkley	75	77	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	6	-6	17.5	14.2	3.24	13.7	15.4	-1.67
Kevin Willis	44	43	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	3	0	16.8	16.8	-0.00	13.6	14.3	-0.72
Clyde Drexler	66	64	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	10	-14	16.8	16.8	-0.03	13.4	15.4	-2.02
Tracy Moore	14	15	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	5	-4	19.5	16.3	3.17	13.1	14.2	-1.02
Matt Maloney	52	49	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.12	-6	12	-18	17.5	15.9	1.66	13.7	14.3	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.95,0.85,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, PHX 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.83,0.96,0.89,0.96,0.99,1	93.1%
MEM 98, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.99,1	92.5%
OKC 96, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.98,1	92.3%