NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	7.0 [384]		MVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): +16.4%
Phoenix Suns	93		Comeback	2.7 [629]		LVP	Channing Frye (PHX): -16.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.00	-0.06	-0.02	20	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	8	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	25	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	15	44%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Jerryd Bayless	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	8%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.15	-0.00	8	62%	0.25	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	14	51%	0.09	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	59%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.06
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	0.02	10	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	15	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	10	30%	-0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.6	29.8	19.8	31.2	3.7	42.0	156.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +50.8%

PHX +14.4%

PHX +5.6%

POR -26.9%

PHX +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	16.7	15.8	15.3	97.8	105.7	106.0
season	16.7	14.4		108.8	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.0	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.6	16.5	16.3	17.5	16.7
PHX	15.4	17.0	15.6	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	37	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-4	2	16.1	17.2	-1.06	16.5	15.3	1.13
Dante Cunningham	8	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	0	-6	14.7	16.9	-2.18	14.9	15.9	-1.03
Jerryd Bayless	21	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	0	-6	18.3	16.2	2.04	17.2	15.4	1.80
Nicolas Batum	58	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.39	7	-13	20	16.9	16.4	0.48	16.0	15.4	0.53
Marcus Camby	63	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-5	4	17.3	15.2	2.12	15.7	16.0	-0.33
Andre Miller	70	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-6	6	16.2	18.8	-2.62	15.5	17.2	-1.71
Martell Webster	36	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	6	-18	15.9	17.3	-1.37	15.2	16.1	-0.90
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-3	0	16.7	16.7	-0.01	15.7	16.4	-0.73
Brandon Roy	82	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.34	-7	1	-8	17.0	13.0	4.05	15.9	15.0	0.87

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	70	69	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.39	10	-4	14	15.8	15.9	-0.17	16.2	18.4	-2.15
Channing Frye	54	56	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-6	18	16.1	15.3	0.79	17.2	15.9	1.35
Jared Dudley	45	47	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.28	11	-5	16	15.8	15.9	-0.10	17.1	16.3	0.84
Steve Nash	57	58	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	2	2	15.2	16.9	-1.69	16.5	17.2	-0.66
Amar'e Stoudemire	76	76	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.33	2	4	-2	15.9	15.2	0.74	16.9	15.5	1.40
Lou Amundson	12	13	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	2	2	15.2	15.9	-0.74	15.5	16.9	-1.40
Goran Dragic	31	31	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	4	-2	16.9	15.2	1.69	17.2	16.5	0.66
Leandro Barbosa	6	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	5	-4	15.7	15.8	-0.15	18.9	16.5	2.31
Robin Lopez	34	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	12	-18	15.3	16.1	-0.79	15.9	17.2	-1.35
Jason Richardson	55	55	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.01	-10	16	-26	15.9	15.6	0.27	16.7	16.7	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.83,0.96,0.89,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.95,0.85,0.85,0.96,1	93.1%
UTA 97, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	92.5%
NYK 106, CLE 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	92.4%