NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	106		Excitement	7.8 [266]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +38.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	110		Comeback	3.8 [477]		LVP	Zach Randolph (NYK): -18.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.07	0.02	13	68%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.01	17	60%	0.15	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
David Lee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Renaldo Balkman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	11	38%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	16	49%	-0.04	1	-0.03	5	0%	-0.10
Fred Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	23	44%	-0.04	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.2,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.20	0.22	0.04	12	89%	0.44	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.14	-0.01	28	58%	0.35	3	-0.07	22	73%	0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	0.00	4	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	13	54%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	11	41%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	7	42%	0.01	4	-0.13	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	32.1	15.5	25.2	2.4	41.2	143.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +45.8%

CLE +20.2%

NYK -18.4%

CLE +1.4%

CLE +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	16.0	15.9	15.4	116.5	122.2	105.7
season	15.7	16.4		103.1	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.2		104.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	13.8	18.5	16.2	16.0
CLE	15.5	15.6	16.6	15.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Renaldo Balkman	1	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	0	-4	27.0	15.8	11.16	6.3	16.2	-9.85
Nate Robinson	48	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-9	14	15.9	16.1	-0.24	16.5	15.0	1.50
Quentin Richardson	67	67	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.39	11	-15	26	15.6	17.0	-1.35	15.7	16.4	-0.78
Fred Jones	18	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	2	-8	15.7	16.0	-0.31	18.1	15.3	2.79
Eddy Curry	64	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-6	8	15.7	16.7	-0.99	16.5	14.6	1.93
Stephon Marbury	62	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	4	-12	16.3	15.3	0.96	14.7	18.4	-3.74
David Lee	44	42	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	7	-18	17.2	14.9	2.31	16.2	15.6	0.58
Zach Randolph	78	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.43	-3	-1	-2	15.8	16.7	-0.85	16.0	15.1	0.91
Jamal Crawford	73	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	2	-8	15.7	17.1	-1.43	15.6	16.9	-1.36

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	83	84	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	0	4	15.7	17.9	-2.17	16.1	14.0	2.13
Daniel Gibson	70	70	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.44	1	3	-2	15.3	17.7	-2.37	15.4	17.9	-2.52
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	69	71	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	3	-2	15.8	16.1	-0.31	15.2	18.8	-3.70
Larry Hughes	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.46	-3	7	-10	15.3	17.5	-2.24	16.1	15.5	0.60
Dwayne Jones	29	29	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	-4	12	17.3	15.2	2.15	18.7	14.7	4.00
Donyell Marshall	16	15	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	-1	6	19.4	15.1	4.28	16.9	15.8	1.08
Devin Brown	24	25	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	-1	6	15.2	16.1	-0.88	14.2	16.6	-2.38
Drew Gooden	63	63	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.36	-7	11	-18	15.1	17.6	-2.53	16.1	15.7	0.42
Damon Jones	28	29	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.13	6	-2	8	17.9	14.9	3.01	17.0	15.5	1.47
Ira Newble	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	4	-4	0.0	15.9	-15.86	4.0	16.1	-12.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 100, NJN 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.73,0.81,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	92.7%
POR 87, PHX 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.83,0.96,0.89,0.96,0.99,1	92.4%
LAC 85, HOU 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,1	92.4%