NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	96		Excitement	7.0 [406]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (LAL): +17.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	1.8 [411]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -19.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	26	53%	0.14	2	-0.04	14	93%	0.07
Kendrick Perkins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	6	83%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Hasheem Thabeet	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.2,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.18,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.17	-0.03	-0.01	22	34%	-0.07	4	-0.12	6	67%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	-0.00	6	75%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.00	11	68%	0.16	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	12	70%	0.20	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.04
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.00	3	83%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	9	61%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	14	54%	0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	62%	0.11	3	-0.08	6	33%	-0.09
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	7	33%	-0.05	3	-0.09	10	20%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	3.4	33.5	18.6	29.3	1.7	35.3	149.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +63.7%

OKC -11.9%

LAL +9.9%

OKC -13.3%

LAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	15.4	102.1	109.4	104.1
season	14.8	14.9		109.3	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.7	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.0	14.3	17.1	13.9	15.1
LAL	13.3	14.5	15.6	18.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hasheem Thabeet	13	12	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-15	21	13.6	15.3	-1.68	15.7	15.2	0.57
Thabo Sefolosha	68	69	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-11	13	15.0	15.1	-0.07	15.1	15.7	-0.63
Reggie Jackson	15	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-11	13	16.3	14.8	1.43	17.1	14.9	2.20
Nick Collison	42	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-5	1	14.8	15.3	-0.50	15.5	15.1	0.36
DeAndre Liggins	11	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	0	-9	14.8	15.1	-0.28	13.3	15.5	-2.19
Kevin Durant	83	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-9	9	15.1	14.8	0.28	15.5	13.3	2.19
Kevin Martin	35	36	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	2	-13	14.9	15.1	-0.19	16.2	14.7	1.51
Russell Westbrook	79	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	2	-13	14.8	16.3	-1.43	14.9	17.1	-2.20
Kendrick Perkins	56	57	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	1	-11	15.3	14.7	0.64	14.8	15.8	-1.00
Serge Ibaka	68	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	1	-11	15.4	14.2	1.15	15.1	15.8	-0.72

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	87	84	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.24	15	-6	21	14.9	18.6	-3.65	15.0	15.3	-0.26
Pau Gasol	70	69	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-5	19	15.4	15.0	0.40	14.9	15.4	-0.51
Steve Nash	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	-2	13	14.6	17.1	-2.47	15.1	15.1	-0.04
Kobe Bryant	78	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.12	11	-2	13	14.9	16.7	-1.81	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Earl Clark	44	43	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	11	-13	15.9	14.7	1.26	16.0	14.3	1.77
Dwight Howard	61	60	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	7	-5	15.2	15.3	-0.10	14.5	16.1	-1.65
Jodie Meeks	18	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	11	-13	16.7	14.9	1.81	15.9	14.9	1.00
Chris Duhon	25	22	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	11	-13	17.1	14.6	2.47	15.1	15.1	0.04
Antawn Jamison	26	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	11	-13	15.0	15.3	-0.29	15.3	15.0	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.91,1	93.2%
NJN 87, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.79,0.99,0.99,1	92.8%
MIL 102, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.83,0.99,1	92.7%