NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	102		Excitement	7.8 [248]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): +15.2%
Detroit Pistons	108		Comeback	1.8 [747]		LVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): -13.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	-0.05	0.11	-0.02	18	57%	0.23	5	-0.14	8	75%	-0.00
Michael Curry	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.06	-0.02	15	71%	0.09	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Armen Gilliam	0.01	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	13	65%	0.05	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.04	-0.05	8	50%	0.07	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Elliot Perry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	7	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	16	44%	0.04	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	21	64%	0.20	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	16	69%	0.15	5	-0.11	13	85%	0.03
Bison Dele	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.05	0.02	10	55%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	71%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	5	59%	-0.03	2	-0.06	12	58%	-0.03
Steve Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	11	25%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.6	25.4	15.5	25.9	1.8	31.2	126.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -3.8%

DET +21.4%

DET +24.2%

DET +5.6%

DET +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DET	NBA	MIL	DET	NBA
this game	15.8	14.5	15.6	107.4	113.7	102.5
season	16.0	15.9		101.1	102.8
opponent	15.9	15.1		101.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	16.0	17.4	15.2	15.8
DET	14.4	12.8	16.9	14.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerald Honeycutt	41	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-11	16	15.5	16.1	-0.54	13.6	15.2	-1.65
Andrew Lang	24	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-2	-2	19.4	14.6	4.76	12.6	15.2	-2.57
Terrell Brandon	74	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-7	8	14.8	19.3	-4.45	15.1	12.3	2.77
Elliot Perry	33	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-1	-4	16.3	15.6	0.74	12.8	15.4	-2.65
Ervin Johnson	67	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-2	-2	14.9	18.0	-3.09	15.7	11.8	3.89
Armen Gilliam	67	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.22	-8	2	-10	15.7	16.0	-0.30	15.0	13.2	1.82
Michael Curry	79	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	2	-10	16.6	11.8	4.82	14.4	14.9	-0.47
Ray Allen	90	90	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	1	-8	15.7	18.4	-2.72	14.4	16.6	-2.22

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	51	50	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-5	16	13.8	15.3	-1.45	16.6	15.0	1.64
Grant Hill	80	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-7	20	15.1	11.2	3.91	16.4	12.2	4.16
Jerry Stackhouse	82	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	-1	8	14.6	13.9	0.66	15.9	15.3	0.66
Lindsey Hunter	65	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	0	6	14.3	14.9	-0.59	15.6	16.3	-0.66
Bison Dele	66	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	2	2	14.2	15.1	-0.83	15.6	16.4	-0.78
Scot Pollard	21	19	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	2	2	14.8	14.4	0.34	18.4	15.2	3.18
Steve Henson	20	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	9	-12	14.3	14.5	-0.25	17.2	15.5	1.73
Joe Dumars	24	25	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	6	-6	14.4	14.5	-0.16	15.0	16.1	-1.11
Malik Sealy	14	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	11	-16	11.8	15.0	-3.18	12.2	16.4	-4.16
Rick Mahorn	20	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	8	-10	15.1	14.3	0.83	14.7	16.1	-1.36
Don Reid	32	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	11	-16	15.5	14.0	1.52	14.3	16.7	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.83,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, ATL 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.94,1,1	93.7%
CHA 89, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.96,1	93.4%
WAS 91, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.91,1	93.3%