NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	7.4 [323]		MVP	Rodney White (DEN): +20.2%
Denver Nuggets	97		Comeback	3.7 [624]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -26.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	24	56%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Tom Gugliotta	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	6	71%	0.08	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Howard Eisley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26	-0.18	-0.09	-0.01	27	30%	-0.20	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.06	-0.02	7	85%	0.20	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	13	71%	0.19	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	10	54%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	13	63%	0.08	3	-0.10	9	89%	0.04
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	13	50%	0.08	7	-0.21	2	0%	-0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	5	23%	-0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.8	27.1	15.8	27.2	2.3	30.4	125.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +41.4%

DEN +33.6%

PHX -18.3%

PHX -10.4%

DEN +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.7	15.7	100.0	103.2	100.5
season	14.6	14.9		99.6	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.9		101.1	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.1	14.6	18.1	13.4	15.3
DEN	14.3	15.4	16.1	17.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	31	33	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-9	13	14.4	15.7	-1.37	14.1	16.6	-2.44
Tom Gugliotta	26	26	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-9	13	17.3	14.5	2.85	14.8	16.0	-1.18
Leandro Barbosa	51	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.13	-6	1	-7	15.7	14.7	1.04	15.3	16.2	-0.86
Zarko Cabarkapa	23	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	0	-5	15.6	15.1	0.46	15.5	15.8	-0.27
Casey Jacobsen	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.32	-2	-3	1	14.1	17.4	-3.33	15.8	15.5	0.36
Howard Eisley	41	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.49	1	-6	7	14.7	15.7	-1.04	16.2	15.3	0.86
Joe Johnson	85	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	15.5	12.1	3.37	15.9	13.4	2.46
Shawn Marion	83	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	2	-9	15.1	16.7	-1.56	15.7	15.3	0.41
Jake Voskuhl	61	61	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	4	-13	15.7	14.4	1.37	16.6	14.1	2.44

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	89	87	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-4	13	15.9	12.6	3.28	15.5	11.6	3.87
Marcus Camby	77	74	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-4	13	15.7	15.8	-0.08	14.8	17.2	-2.37
Earl Boykins	51	50	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	0	5	16.3	15.0	1.21	15.2	15.3	-0.05
Carmelo Anthony	82	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	-1	7	16.0	14.0	1.95	15.0	16.7	-1.71
Voshon Lenard	63	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	4	-3	15.5	16.2	-0.73	14.7	16.4	-1.75
Chris Andersen	12	11	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	0	5	15.8	15.7	0.15	18.3	14.9	3.42
Rodney White	26	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	5	-5	15.5	15.8	-0.33	16.6	14.7	1.89
Nene	53	52	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	5	-5	15.3	16.2	-0.96	14.9	15.7	-0.73
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	7	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	9	-13	14.4	15.8	-1.38	17.4	15.1	2.32
Francisco Elson	10	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	11	-17	14.5	15.8	-1.35	15.5	15.2	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.84,0.96,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 87, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	92.7%
NJN 99, TOR 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.7%
ATL 98, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.85,0.91,1,1	92.5%