NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	83		Excitement	6.8 [432]		MVP	JJ Redick (ORL): +14.0%
Orlando Magic	92		Comeback	2.2 [830]		LVP	Martell Webster (POR): -24.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.05	-0.01	27	53%	0.20	2	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.07	0.04	5	85%	0.18	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.04
Joel Przybilla	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	57%	0.06	4	-0.11	8	75%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	13	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	6	21%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Martell Webster	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.18	-0.08	-0.01	11	8%	-0.22	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.00	9	63%	0.19	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.02	7	93%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	10	62%	0.13	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	6	42%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.04	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	10	41%	0.05	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.01	14	25%	-0.16	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	34.1	16.6	26.0	1.8	32.2	137.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +55.2%

POR -11.7%

ORL +16.6%

POR -8.0%

POR -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ORL	NBA	POR	ORL	NBA
this game	16.5	14.0	15.3	88.3	96.8	106.0
season	16.7	15.4		108.8	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.6		101.9	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.9	14.8	17.9	16.4	16.5
ORL	13.1	13.4	13.4	16.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	14	14	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-7	5	17.0	16.4	0.60	11.5	14.4	-2.93
Juwan Howard	21	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-8	7	15.3	16.8	-1.49	12.3	14.5	-2.25
Joel Przybilla	54	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-7	5	17.8	14.7	3.16	14.4	13.5	0.90
Andre Miller	66	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-9	9	16.1	17.4	-1.29	14.2	13.5	0.76
Brandon Roy	83	82	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-10	11	16.0	20.1	-4.08	14.5	10.7	3.83
Martell Webster	65	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	16.6	16.2	0.36	13.1	16.1	-2.98
Jerryd Bayless	60	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	2	-13	15.7	17.9	-2.27	13.7	14.5	-0.82
Steve Blake	49	51	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.21	-13	4	-17	16.7	16.2	0.51	14.8	13.1	1.65
LaMarcus Aldridge	58	58	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.31	-10	1	-11	17.2	15.4	1.78	14.6	13.1	1.46

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	1	7	14.0	14.1	-0.17	16.6	16.0	0.57
Anthony Johnson	50	48	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	3	3	15.0	12.9	2.07	16.1	16.9	-0.87
Matt Barnes	23	24	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.18	9	0	9	15.4	13.5	1.89	17.7	16.1	1.69
JJ Redick	47	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	0	9	13.9	14.1	-0.13	16.1	16.9	-0.85
Mickael Pietrus	55	54	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	2	5	13.2	15.1	-1.99	16.8	16.0	0.81
Ryan Anderson	22	21	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	4	1	15.0	13.7	1.36	18.1	16.0	2.07
Rashard Lewis	68	67	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	9	-9	13.7	14.7	-0.93	16.0	17.6	-1.60
Jason Williams	45	46	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	6	-3	12.9	15.0	-2.07	16.9	16.1	0.87
Marcin Gortat	14	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	8	-7	14.1	14.0	0.17	16.0	16.6	-0.57
Vince Carter	70	69	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	12	-15	14.2	13.6	0.60	16.0	17.8	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.86,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.5%
SAS 86, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.7,0.8,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
LAC 88, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.44,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.72,0.89,0.89,0.93,1,1	93.1%