NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	75		Excitement	6.6 [481]		MVP	Vlade Divac (CHH): +17.7%
Charlotte Hornets	84		Comeback	2.3 [653]		LVP	Muggsy Bogues (CHH): -14.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Doug Overton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	7	69%	0.09	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	11	69%	0.09	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mark Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	1	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	17	48%	-0.00	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	19%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rex Walters	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.01	14	67%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.02	-0.04	14	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	14	41%	0.01	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	22	46%	-0.08	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	1.7	22.1	14.7	25.2	2.4	33.2	119.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +2.1%

PHI -5.9%

CHH +41.8%

CHH +10.5%

CHH +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHH	NBA	PHI	CHH	NBA
this game	17.0	18.1	15.6	91.5	102.4	104.4
season	14.7	15.7		101.4	108.0
opponent	16.0	14.7		106.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.8	18.7	15.7	17.1	17.0
CHH	17.5	17.3	15.6	22.9	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	56	56	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	0.02	-3	-6	3	16.7	17.6	-0.87	17.9	18.6	-0.70
Lucious Harris	23	25	-0.10	-0.39	0.29	-0.07	-1	-8	7	16.1	17.4	-1.30	16.4	18.8	-2.44
Rex Walters	21	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-8	7	17.6	16.8	0.74	16.4	18.6	-2.18
Mark Davis	27	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-10	11	17.2	16.9	0.29	19.7	17.3	2.40
Derrick Coleman	66	67	-0.33	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	16.8	17.9	-1.13	18.6	15.9	2.65
Doug Overton	61	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-1	-7	16.8	17.6	-0.74	18.6	16.4	2.18
Jerry Stackhouse	60	58	-0.39	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	0	-9	17.1	16.8	0.28	19.0	16.0	2.97
Michael Cage	26	26	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	17.6	16.7	0.87	18.6	17.9	0.70
Clar. Weatherspoon	70	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	4	-17	17.4	14.8	2.57	16.9	24.1	-7.29

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Burrell	55	55	0.57	-0.08	0.64	0.28	10	-1	11	18.6	17.1	1.47	16.7	17.6	-0.90
Tony Smith	18	17	0.54	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-1	11	22.9	16.7	6.14	16.6	17.1	-0.48
Anthony Mason	81	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.22	9	0	9	18.1	18.0	0.10	17.0	0.0	17.02
Glen Rice	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.20	9	0	9	17.7	20.6	-2.85	16.8	18.4	-1.57
Vlade Divac	59	59	0.44	0.05	0.39	0.06	13	-4	17	17.3	20.1	-2.83	17.1	17.0	0.09
Malik Rose	6	5	0.23	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	7	-5	29.5	17.2	12.30	16.2	17.1	-0.88
Anthony Goldwire	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	9	-9	20.6	17.7	2.85	18.4	16.8	1.57
Muggsy Bogues	54	55	-0.08	0.57	-0.65	-0.05	-1	10	-11	16.0	22.1	-6.03	16.9	17.3	-0.41
Dell Curry	36	36	-0.11	0.60	-0.71	-0.08	-1	10	-11	17.7	18.4	-0.67	17.8	16.4	1.44
Matt Geiger	19	19	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	15	-21	17.6	18.3	-0.68	17.2	17.0	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 75, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,1	93.8%
GSW 90, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	93.5%
LAL 89, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	93.5%