NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	90		Excitement	7.0 [451]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +12.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	2.1 [764]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -12.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	20	57%	0.08	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Powell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	4	100%	0.05	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	16	53%	0.05	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	13	46%	0.00	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	17	41%	-0.06	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.01	19	61%	0.20	3	-0.07	13	69%	-0.04
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.01	13	61%	0.18	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	11	56%	0.12	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Daniel Ewing	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	9	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	56%	0.06	4	-0.14	14	71%	-0.04
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.05	0.06	10	65%	0.02	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.0	28.3	16.4	24.6	3.4	32.2	133.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +16.9%

LAC +17.8%

LAC +9.1%

LAC +5.6%

LAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.2	14.2	15.4	87.4	103.0	104.5
season	13.5	15.7		105.7	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.2		103.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.3	13.7	12.5	16.8	14.2
LAC	11.8	14.0	15.2	15.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	22	21	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-14	15	12.4	14.7	-2.36	14.4	14.1	0.35
Matt Barnes	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-12	11	14.9	14.1	0.82	13.4	14.3	-0.92
Kelenna Azubuike	26	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-14	15	14.3	14.2	0.11	15.3	13.8	1.56
Mickael Pietrus	53	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-10	7	15.9	12.4	3.47	13.8	14.5	-0.78
Josh Powell	21	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-8	3	13.0	14.5	-1.54	11.6	14.7	-3.11
Andris Biedrins	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-9	5	15.5	12.7	2.76	14.9	13.2	1.70
Monta Ellis	81	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-4	-5	13.9	15.4	-1.45	14.5	13.0	1.42
Al Harrington	82	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-1	-11	13.3	17.9	-4.56	14.0	14.8	-0.85
Stephen Jackson	87	84	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.04	-19	6	-25	14.2	14.3	-0.11	13.7	16.5	-2.80
Jason Richardson	72	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.21	-14	1	-15	14.2	14.3	-0.10	14.6	13.2	1.36

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	53	55	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.11	23	-10	33	14.3	13.9	0.40	14.2	14.2	-0.05
Elton Brand	88	90	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-2	17	14.1	14.7	-0.68	13.9	16.5	-2.65
Cuttino Mobley	86	91	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	1	11	14.3	13.2	1.09	14.5	11.8	2.71
Sam Cassell	31	31	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	6	1	14.8	13.9	0.90	15.2	13.8	1.34
Shaun Livingston	69	72	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	7	-1	13.9	14.8	-0.90	13.8	15.2	-1.34
James Singleton	28	33	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.06	3	10	-7	13.0	14.6	-1.65	13.8	14.4	-0.69
Corey Maggette	76	75	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	11	-9	14.2	13.8	0.42	14.7	13.1	1.58
Tim Thomas	66	65	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	15	-17	14.2	14.0	0.27	14.6	13.6	0.98
Daniel Ewing	3	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	14	-15	15.3	14.1	1.22	1.7	14.6	-12.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 75, CHH 84	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.98,1	93.5%
MIN 99, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%
CHH 79, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	92.9%