NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	79		Excitement	6.1 [561]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +2.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	84		Comeback	2.1 [722]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -17.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	5	69%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	62%	0.05	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	14	53%	-0.01	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	17	32%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	18	37%	-0.07	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	13	65%	0.14	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	17	47%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Buford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.21,-0.2,-0.19,-0.22,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.03	-0.04	26	55%	0.17	8	-0.22	12	92%	0.07
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	2	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.4	27.3	15.5	26.5	1.6	34.2	130.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +28.8%

PHI +5.2%

PHI +17.2%

CHH -1.8%

PHI +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	PHI	NBA	CHH	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	15.9	15.5	86.8	91.3	100.9
season	15.8	15.7		99.7	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.6		97.1	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.3	16.8	15.2	15.0	15.5
PHI	15.3	16.7	14.8	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-8	11	17.1	15.3	1.80	16.9	15.8	1.10
Baron Davis	78	81	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-10	15	15.3	16.9	-1.60	16.4	12.3	4.15
Derrick Coleman	23	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-4	3	15.0	15.7	-0.68	13.6	16.7	-3.09
Jamaal Magloire	24	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-3	1	14.9	15.8	-0.86	14.0	16.7	-2.70
Hersey Hawkins	25	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	0	-5	16.6	15.1	1.50	14.8	16.3	-1.46
Elden Campbell	67	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-2	-1	15.8	14.9	0.86	16.7	14.0	2.70
P.J. Brown	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-1	-3	15.7	15.0	0.68	16.7	13.6	3.09
Jamal Mashburn	77	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	3	-11	15.3	17.1	-1.80	15.8	16.9	-1.10
David Wesley	79	80	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.31	-10	5	-15	15.4	16.3	-0.90	15.7	17.2	-1.43

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	76	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-7	19	15.7	16.9	-1.23	15.6	15.1	0.50
Allen Iverson	86	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-1	7	15.8	18.2	-2.40	15.6	14.7	0.84
Tyrone Hill	75	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-4	13	15.9	16.1	-0.17	16.1	12.9	3.21
Aaron McKie	71	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	2	1	16.2	15.0	1.26	15.1	16.9	-1.77
Theo Ratliff	77	74	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.23	2	3	-1	16.2	14.7	1.42	15.5	15.8	-0.26
Kevin Ollie	33	33	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	4	-3	16.0	15.9	0.12	15.5	15.6	-0.05
Toni Kukoc	25	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	6	-7	16.1	15.9	0.21	15.2	15.7	-0.45
Rodney Buford	0	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	5	-5	0.0	15.9	-15.92	0.0	15.7	-15.72
Todd MacCulloch	17	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	12	-19	15.2	16.1	-0.92	15.9	15.5	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
CHI 77, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.4%
SAC 90, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.95,1,1,0.97,1	93.3%