NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	6.5 [405]		MVP	Brandon Rush (GSW): +9.9%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	2.6 [592]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -15.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.03	-0.06	7	50%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Honeycutt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	12	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
JJ Hickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Charles Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	29%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Francisco Garcia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.06	0.02	15	57%	0.03	4	-0.11	7	71%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09	0.04	-0.02	0.10	8	69%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	22	46%	-0.00	5	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.04	0.08	10	83%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.02	10	50%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	11	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	11	68%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	17	33%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	10	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	28.7	11.7	25.3	1.0	38.0	129.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +26.3%

SAC -6.4%

SAC -11.4%

GSW +41.0%

GSW +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	15.6	94.7	97.9	102.8
season	14.9	15.2		102.2	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.1		106.8	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.9	14.8	15.8	15.5	15.7
GSW	14.4	15.2	14.8	13.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmer Fredette	39	39	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.10	1	-4	5	15.8	15.7	0.04	14.6	14.6	-0.01
JJ Hickson	30	31	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-8	13	15.1	16.0	-0.90	15.9	13.9	1.93
Charles Hayes	24	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-4	5	17.0	15.3	1.73	16.7	13.8	2.87
Donte Greene	5	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-1	-1	12.8	15.9	-3.11	19.2	14.3	4.91
Tyreke Evans	87	86	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-4	5	16.1	12.0	4.09	14.4	16.4	-2.07
John Salmons	72	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-2	1	15.7	15.8	-0.05	13.9	16.5	-2.65
Jason Thompson	62	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	5	-13	15.8	15.6	0.26	14.5	14.6	-0.05
Francisco Garcia	30	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	0	-3	15.0	16.1	-1.14	14.6	14.6	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	54	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	1	-5	15.5	16.1	-0.66	14.8	14.3	0.44
DeMarcus Cousins	72	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	2	-7	15.8	15.5	0.30	13.7	17.3	-3.67

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	47	47	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-5	13	14.5	14.7	-0.20	16.7	14.8	1.93
Nate Robinson	43	43	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.52	3	0	3	14.4	14.7	-0.36	16.6	15.1	1.52
Ekpe Udoh	39	39	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	-2	7	16.2	13.4	2.78	17.7	14.4	3.30
Dominic McGuire	26	24	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	0	3	14.7	14.5	0.17	16.4	15.5	0.84
Klay Thompson	39	38	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	4	-5	14.5	14.6	-0.09	15.8	15.7	0.07
David Lee	62	63	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	0	3	13.7	16.2	-2.57	15.2	16.9	-1.75
Monta Ellis	56	57	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	-1	5	14.6	14.5	0.09	15.7	15.8	-0.07
Andris Biedrins	50	51	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.06	0	3	-3	14.5	14.6	-0.06	15.1	16.5	-1.32
Stephen Curry	53	54	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.13	1	2	-1	14.5	14.7	-0.22	14.7	17.1	-2.42
Jeremy Tyler	12	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	9	-15	14.8	14.5	0.30	15.5	15.8	-0.23
Dorell Wright	48	48	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.02	-5	8	-13	14.7	14.5	0.20	14.8	16.7	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.95,1,1,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
WAS 99, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.5%
CHA 89, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1	93.5%