NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	6.7 [485]		MVP	Carl Landry (PHI): +16.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	2.0 [240]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -14.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.00	3	100%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Gorgui Dieng	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.01	9	70%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.04	11	77%	0.18	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	71%	0.05	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Adreian Payne	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.10	-0.02	9	57%	0.03	3	-0.11	10	80%	-0.02
Zach LaVine	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	8	28%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	11	29%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	11	73%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.01	8	56%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.00	10	74%	0.20	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.00	9	47%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	59%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Ish Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	16	60%	0.12	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	38%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.02	6	83%	0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.0	31.4	15.4	29.5	2.5	31.4	139.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.6%

MIN -6.9%

PHI +15.1%

PHI +3.8%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	14.9	106.5	117.2	105.1
season	14.8	14.8		104.8	97.7
opponent	14.2	15.0		108.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.3	13.6	15.8	16.1	15.2
PHI	16.7	15.2	14.2	17.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.04	-1	-9	8	14.9	15.3	-0.37	17.8	14.8	2.98
Zach LaVine	37	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-10	10	14.4	15.7	-1.33	14.8	16.5	-1.76
Adreian Payne	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-5	0	15.7	15.1	0.63	14.4	16.0	-1.61
Tyus Jones	4	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-5	0	12.2	15.3	-3.03	14.5	15.9	-1.38
Tayshaun Prince	39	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-4	-2	16.0	14.6	1.42	15.7	15.9	-0.27
Ricky Rubio	63	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-9	8	15.1	15.3	-0.22	16.3	14.7	1.69
Gorgui Dieng	56	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-7	4	14.8	15.7	-0.96	14.6	17.7	-3.02
Andre Miller	23	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-8	6	15.4	15.1	0.38	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Andrew Wiggins	47	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-4	-2	15.7	14.6	1.03	17.0	14.7	2.34
Nemanja Bjelica	41	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-6	2	15.2	15.1	0.08	14.5	16.9	-2.38
Karl-Anthony Towns	44	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	15.6	14.7	0.88	17.5	14.2	3.28
Shabazz Muhammad	66	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.26	-10	0	-10	14.9	15.8	-0.88	15.5	16.6	-1.02

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	43	42	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.18	19	-9	28	15.6	16.0	-0.44	15.7	14.7	1.07
Richaun Holmes	34	33	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	0	10	14.9	16.4	-1.47	16.2	14.6	1.55
TJ McConnell	35	34	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	0	10	15.1	16.3	-1.17	16.1	14.6	1.43
Isaiah Canaan	19	19	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	4	2	14.9	16.1	-1.16	16.8	14.7	2.06
Nik Stauskas	56	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	4	2	16.3	15.1	1.18	14.5	16.2	-1.70
Hollis Thompson	42	43	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	5	0	13.1	18.1	-5.01	15.9	14.5	1.32
Jerami Grant	40	43	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	10	-10	17.5	14.5	2.95	14.8	15.4	-0.63
Ish Smith	58	59	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	10	-10	16.3	15.1	1.17	14.6	16.1	-1.43
JaKarr Sampson	26	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	11	-12	15.7	15.9	-0.12	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Robert Covington	13	13	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	10	-10	16.1	15.8	0.30	14.5	15.2	-0.71
Nerlens Noel	62	60	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	13	-16	16.2	15.1	1.03	14.3	16.6	-2.30
Jahlil Okafor	37	40	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.07	-2	12	-14	17.4	14.8	2.64	15.4	14.9	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 90, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	93.2%
PHI 75, CHH 84	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.98,1	93.1%
LAL 89, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	92.9%