NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	78		Excitement	6.9 [447]		MVP	Tierre Brown (HOU): +5.3%
Houston Rockets	85		Comeback	3.9 [549]		LVP	Grant Long (MEM): -26.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonis Fotsis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.05	-0.09	-0.04	17	44%	-0.09	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.06	0.04	24	49%	-0.04	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26	-0.17	-0.11	-0.02	8	39%	-0.07	5	-0.19	7	43%	-0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	3	73%	0.06	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.04
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	16	52%	0.03	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.06
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	11	44%	-0.06	3	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.17	-0.02	-0.06	29	40%	-0.03	4	-0.10	7	71%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	27.7	15.0	24.2	2.5	34.4	132.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +8.7%

HOU +12.8%

HOU +5.9%

HOU +14.3%

HOU +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	15.1	16.2	15.6	84.8	92.4	102.3
season	15.7	16.8		96.0	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.2		106.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.8	13.5	15.0	15.2	15.1
HOU	16.0	16.5	18.6	14.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonis Fotsis	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-8	9	4.0	15.4	-11.36	1.0	16.4	-15.36
Will Solomon	14	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-5	3	13.6	15.4	-1.73	15.2	16.4	-1.21
Tony Massenburg	64	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.30	8	-15	23	14.9	15.5	-0.61	17.4	13.0	4.40
Brevin Knight	50	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-6	-1	-5	14.6	15.7	-1.07	14.9	17.9	-2.99
Ike Austin	15	14	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	2	-11	15.5	15.0	0.43	13.6	16.7	-3.10
Shane Battier	88	88	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-5	3	15.3	10.7	4.56	16.4	12.0	4.39
Grant Long	66	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	0	-7	15.5	14.1	1.44	17.0	14.2	2.85
Pau Gasol	87	87	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.31	-7	0	-7	15.0	17.8	-2.85	16.0	19.8	-3.81
Rodney Buford	74	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.28	-11	4	-15	15.7	12.7	2.97	16.2	16.2	-0.03

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	80	78	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.25	14	-7	21	16.4	14.5	1.95	15.7	11.9	3.84
Cuttino Mobley	83	83	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-5	17	16.2	15.8	0.46	15.4	12.4	2.95
Moochie Norris	81	80	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-2	11	16.0	18.0	-2.05	14.8	17.2	-2.46
Kelvin Cato	65	63	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	-1	9	16.5	15.5	1.01	15.3	14.8	0.46
Dan Langhi	14	14	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	3	1	13.4	16.7	-3.35	16.9	14.8	2.06
Kevin Willis	27	29	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	8	-9	15.5	16.5	-1.01	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Eddie Griffin	58	58	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	13	-19	16.6	15.5	1.15	13.6	17.6	-3.98
Terence Morris	32	34	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	5	-3	16.0	16.3	-0.25	15.6	14.8	0.71
Tierre Brown	11	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	9	-11	18.0	16.0	2.05	17.2	14.8	2.46
Oscar Torres	9	9	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	12	-17	15.8	16.2	-0.46	12.4	15.4	-2.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 94, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.91,1,1	93.4%
PHI 81, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1	93.0%
CHH 76, PHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.32,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.67,0.78,0.94,0.96,1	92.7%