NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	94		Excitement	7.2 [370]		MVP	Mark Jackson (IND): +11.0%
Indiana Pacers	104		Comeback	3.6 [547]		LVP	Jason Williams (SAC): -17.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.05	0.02	11	57%	0.07	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.09
Chris Webber	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	22	52%	0.09	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.05	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	3	64%	-0.02	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.05
Jon Barry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.14	-0.04	15	45%	-0.01	4	-0.16	1	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	9	75%	0.19	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	67%	0.11	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	56%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	15	56%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	20	52%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	6	25%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	16	38%	-0.06	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	27.4	18.5	29.4	2.6	40.5	143.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +15.9%

IND +7.1%

SAC -0.7%

IND +25.3%

IND +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	IND	NBA	SAC	IND	NBA
this game	13.8	14.1	15.2	91.3	101.0	101.7
season	13.8	15.4		102.9	106.5
opponent	15.1	14.7		101.8	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.0	14.6	13.5	14.3	13.8
IND	12.2	13.7	16.5	14.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Corbin	63	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-6	2	13.5	14.4	-0.95	14.2	13.9	0.35
Vlade Divac	75	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-6	2	13.4	15.0	-1.59	14.4	13.4	0.96
Chris Webber	76	78	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-7	4	13.3	15.4	-2.12	14.3	13.6	0.68
Jason Williams	75	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-5	0	13.1	15.8	-2.71	14.4	13.4	0.91
Jon Barry	34	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-8	6	15.5	13.0	2.43	13.7	14.3	-0.66
Nick Anderson	69	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-2	-6	13.0	15.5	-2.43	14.3	13.7	0.66
Darrick Martin	28	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-5	0	15.8	13.1	2.71	13.4	14.4	-0.91
Lawrence Funderburke	27	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-3	-4	15.4	13.3	2.12	13.6	14.3	-0.68
Scot Pollard	28	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	15.0	13.4	1.59	13.4	14.4	-0.96
Peja Stojakovic	40	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-4	-2	14.4	13.5	0.95	13.9	14.2	-0.35

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	90	90	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	1	8	14.1	14.0	0.13	14.0	12.9	1.05
Travis Best	37	37	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	5	0	13.6	14.4	-0.86	13.8	13.9	-0.10
Chris Mullin	30	31	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	5	0	14.3	14.0	0.31	14.5	13.6	0.96
Rik Smits	47	48	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	4	2	13.1	15.0	-1.94	13.8	13.9	-0.06
Derrick McKey	56	54	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	8	-6	15.2	12.8	2.41	13.2	14.5	-1.31
Sam Perkins	56	55	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	6	-2	15.0	13.1	1.94	13.9	13.8	0.06
Reggie Miller	86	85	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	4	2	14.0	14.6	-0.56	13.5	15.7	-2.21
Jeff Foster	8	9	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	7	-4	14.0	14.1	-0.13	18.0	13.4	4.55
Mark Jackson	66	66	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	5	0	14.4	13.6	0.86	13.9	13.8	0.10
Dale Davis	39	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	5	0	12.6	15.1	-2.50	13.7	13.9	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 74, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.96,1	93.5%
MEM 78, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	93.4%
UTA 80, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,1	93.3%