NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	91		Excitement	7.8 [238]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +29.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	4.7 [610]		LVP	Tony Massenburg (VAN): -29.5%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0.18	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.04	-0.00	11	82%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.02	7	59%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
George Lynch	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.04	6	75%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Blue Edwards	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Pete Chilcutt	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Robinson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	21	47%	0.00	3	-0.10	11	64%	-0.05
Antonio Daniels	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22	-0.18	-0.06	-0.02	11	25%	-0.18	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.07
Tony Massenburg	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.20	-0.11	-0.02	10	28%	-0.22	3	-0.07	9	44%	-0.13

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3	0.30	0.09	0.21	0.00	20	66%	0.38	3	-0.09	7	86%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.00	9	64%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	13	58%	0.05	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.05
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	8	55%	0.00	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	5	36%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.08
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	5	37%	-0.13	1	-0.04	9	56%	-0.07
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.08	-0.01	10	33%	-0.17	3	-0.06	7	43%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.7	27.2	15.8	30.2	3.4	40.7	142.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +28.4%

POR +18.8%

POR +13.9%

VAN -8.9%

VAN -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	POR	NBA	VAN	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	15.3	15.6	97.8	103.2	102.5
season	15.1	15.9		101.3	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.3		100.6	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.8	16.6	13.2	16.3	15.7
POR	14.5	16.1	16.2	14.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mack	47	48	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.08	7	-12	19	15.4	15.9	-0.47	15.7	14.9	0.82
Tony Massenburg	63	62	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-8	11	15.9	15.2	0.75	16.4	13.1	3.34
Chris Robinson	13	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	0	-5	15.5	15.7	-0.16	16.2	15.1	1.10
Bryant Reeves	58	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-2	-1	15.6	15.8	-0.15	15.4	15.1	0.35
Pete Chilcutt	38	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-7	9	15.7	15.7	-0.03	16.2	14.7	1.57
Antonio Daniels	80	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.35	0	-5	5	15.7	15.5	0.16	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	84	84	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	1	-7	15.3	19.3	-4.05	14.8	19.7	-4.85
George Lynch	36	35	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.20	-11	6	-17	16.3	15.3	0.98	13.7	16.3	-2.62
Blue Edwards	46	46	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.28	-12	7	-19	15.9	15.4	0.47	14.6	16.0	-1.43

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	76	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-4	13	15.2	15.8	-0.65	15.5	16.4	-0.92
Stacey Augmon	32	32	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-11	27	14.4	15.8	-1.35	17.4	14.8	2.68
Isaiah Rider	81	80	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	15.4	14.8	0.52	15.1	19.0	-3.86
Rick Brunson	17	16	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	-3	11	15.5	15.2	0.29	19.7	14.8	4.84
Gary Trent	44	43	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	0	5	15.3	15.3	0.01	16.2	15.3	0.90
Alvin Williams	77	77	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	8	-11	15.1	16.4	-1.39	14.8	19.7	-4.84
Arvydas Sabonis	60	61	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.26	-7	12	-19	15.1	15.6	-0.54	15.6	15.9	-0.35
Rasheed Wallace	72	73	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.22	-7	12	-19	15.8	13.6	2.22	15.6	16.0	-0.47
Jermaine O'Neal	6	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	6	-7	18.8	15.0	3.79	14.5	15.8	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 82, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.97,1,1	92.5%
PHI 82, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	92.1%
MEM 101, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.36,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.84,0.98,1,1	92.0%