NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	101		Excitement	7.1 [404]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +20.3%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	4.3 [600]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -16.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	17	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Michael Dickerson	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	11	45%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.09	-0.03	14	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	17	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ike Austin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	3	42%	-0.03	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	12	31%	-0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.08	0.01	17	67%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	6	86%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.02	8	69%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	12	79%	0.20	5	-0.18	9	89%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.02	10	59%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	8	40%	-0.09	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	25.2	15.8	27.3	2.3	32.7	127.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +36.1%

PHX +9.2%

PHX +18.2%

MEM -9.2%

MEM -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	16.9	12.8	15.6	105.2	115.3	102.3
season	15.7	15.1		96.0	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.2		102.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.8	18.5	17.5	17.1	16.9
PHX	15.2	11.8	12.5	11.7	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Dickerson	61	63	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.06	7	-19	26	16.9	17.0	-0.13	13.3	11.8	1.49
Will Solomon	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-8	4	9.0	17.3	-8.29	6.7	13.0	-6.29
Ike Austin	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-9	6	16.8	17.0	-0.19	11.8	13.0	-1.17
Jason Williams	67	69	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-14	16	16.9	17.1	-0.27	13.4	11.4	2.00
Lorenzen Wright	73	75	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-12	12	16.9	17.0	-0.01	13.2	11.4	1.77
Tony Massenburg	26	25	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.01	-13	1	-14	17.6	16.7	0.86	11.9	13.1	-1.22
Brevin Knight	29	29	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	2	-16	17.1	16.9	0.27	11.4	13.4	-2.00
Pau Gasol	79	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-4	-4	16.8	17.8	-0.99	12.9	12.4	0.42
Nick Anderson	49	49	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	0	-12	18.6	15.2	3.36	12.8	12.8	0.02
Shane Battier	78	80	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.20	-15	3	-18	16.4	19.5	-3.14	12.7	13.3	-0.67

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	57	57	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-3	18	12.5	13.1	-0.58	16.3	17.9	-1.56
Rodney Rogers	59	58	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.19	16	-4	20	12.8	12.8	0.03	16.3	17.9	-1.61
Anfernee Hardaway	75	73	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.12	17	-5	22	12.5	13.8	-1.36	17.7	14.5	3.25
Shawn Marion	74	72	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.12	17	-5	22	12.5	13.8	-1.33	17.8	14.3	3.49
Stephon Marbury	61	58	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	4	4	12.7	13.0	-0.34	17.6	15.9	1.70
Tony Delk	37	38	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	8	-4	13.0	12.7	0.34	15.9	17.6	-1.70
Charlie Bell	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	13.0	12.8	0.22	11.0	17.0	-6.01
John Wallace	18	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.00	-1	13	-14	14.3	12.4	1.90	14.7	17.5	-2.82
Alton Ford	6	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	16	-20	12.2	12.8	-0.66	13.0	17.2	-4.16
Jud Buechler	23	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	17	-22	13.8	12.5	1.36	14.5	17.7	-3.25
Jake Voskuhl	38	37	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	16	-20	12.8	12.8	-0.04	18.1	16.2	1.89
Tom Gugliotta	41	39	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	15	-18	13.1	12.5	0.58	17.9	16.3	1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.36,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 91, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.96,1	92.0%
TOR 86, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.72,0.91,1,1	91.5%
BOS 84, ATL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.47,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.79,0.84,1,1	91.2%