NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	84		Excitement	6.5 [522]		MVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): +10.4%
Atlanta Hawks	94		Comeback	15.4 [92]		LVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): -20.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adrian Griffin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	87%	0.12	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Dana Barros	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	19	38%	-0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	3	33%	-0.06	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	17	44%	-0.16	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	9	64%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	21	61%	0.17	7	-0.27	7	100%	0.06
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.13	0.02	9	61%	-0.10	4	-0.11	10	70%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	30.2	15.6	31.2	2.0	34.0	137.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +37.8%

ATL +2.1%

ATL +19.0%

BOS -10.2%

ATL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.2	91.3	102.2	101.7
season	14.7	15.4		102.4	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	16.2	17.1	18.3	16.3
ATL	13.5	13.8	16.3	16.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	36	35	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-15	20	15.4	16.9	-1.52	15.0	15.0	0.02
Eric Williams	16	16	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	-7	4	15.9	16.4	-0.53	12.5	15.5	-3.01
Walter McCarty	20	20	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-9	8	17.6	16.0	1.64	14.2	15.2	-1.01
Calbert Cheaney	35	35	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-5	0	15.8	16.6	-0.79	12.8	16.3	-3.49
Dana Barros	31	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-6	2	16.3	16.3	-0.09	13.4	15.8	-2.36
Tony Battie	17	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	-5	0	13.9	16.9	-2.91	14.5	15.1	-0.65
Paul Pierce	68	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-11	12	16.0	17.2	-1.15	16.0	12.3	3.67
Kenny Anderson	61	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-4	-2	16.3	16.3	0.09	15.8	13.4	2.36
Antoine Walker	59	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-4	-2	16.3	16.3	0.02	15.3	14.5	0.78
Pervis Ellison	52	52	-0.58	0.09	-0.67	-0.20	-13	3	-16	17.2	15.1	2.11	15.2	14.8	0.38
Adrian Griffin	65	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.28	-13	3	-16	17.0	14.7	2.33	15.7	13.1	2.61

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roshown McLeod	39	41	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.18	24	-14	38	14.7	15.2	-0.47	17.9	15.1	2.82
Jason Terry	50	50	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.19	18	-8	26	15.0	15.0	0.07	17.4	15.0	2.46
Isaiah Rider	84	85	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-3	16	15.0	14.9	0.13	16.1	18.6	-2.44
Dikembe Mutombo	75	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	0	10	15.5	12.9	2.51	16.9	14.1	2.79
Lorenzen Wright	40	40	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	-7	24	14.5	15.3	-0.78	16.5	16.2	0.37
Alan Henderson	69	70	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.27	-7	17	-24	14.7	15.7	-1.00	15.4	19.2	-3.77
Bimbo Coles	42	42	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.01	-8	18	-26	15.0	15.0	-0.07	15.0	17.4	-2.46
Jim Jackson	61	59	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	0.04	-17	27	-44	15.1	14.7	0.47	15.7	17.4	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.47,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.79,0.84,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.1,0.17,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.89,0.98,1	92.7%
LAC 86, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	92.6%
MIN 88, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.94,0.98,1,1	92.4%