NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	90		Excitement	8.2 [202]		MVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): +19.2%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	8.9 [223]		LVP	Jared Jeffries (WAS): -32.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	13	57%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	20	57%	0.18	5	-0.15	6	83%	0.01
Steve Blake	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	53%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	7	57%	-0.05	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.05
Jarvis Hayes	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	17	33%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Kwame Brown	-0.25	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.16	-0.10	-0.00	5	43%	-0.06	6	-0.19	4	50%	-0.04
Jared Jeffries	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.22,-0.29,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	9	30%	-0.06	5	-0.26	2	100%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	-0.00	9	77%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	69%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	57%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	12	57%	0.10	5	-0.17	6	50%	-0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	0.01	-0.03	23	41%	-0.01	2	-0.08	12	83%	0.11
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	19%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.6	27.5	17.4	25.5	2.4	40.6	139.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +20.0%

BOS +28.3%

WAS -19.5%

BOS +27.1%

WAS -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	15.7	92.8	96.9	100.5
season	15.2	14.4		96.4	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.3		102.1	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.9	13.8	18.4	13.9	15.2
BOS	15.7	14.4	14.3	13.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	47	49	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.03	8	-12	20	16.5	13.9	2.55	14.6	14.5	0.11
Kwame Brown	58	58	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-7	10	15.9	14.1	1.85	15.1	13.7	1.41
Steve Blake	13	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-6	8	11.0	15.8	-4.80	17.8	14.1	3.76
Christian Laettner	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.02	-3	-1	-2	14.7	15.2	-0.51	13.3	14.7	-1.38
Juan Dixon	67	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.24	1	-5	6	15.8	13.8	1.96	13.7	16.4	-2.72
Gilbert Arenas	93	93	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	15.2	13.5	1.73	14.5	16.0	-1.53
Jared Jeffries	59	59	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.36	-9	5	-14	14.2	16.7	-2.56	15.1	13.7	1.40
Etan Thomas	55	55	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	7	-18	14.7	15.8	-1.15	14.7	14.4	0.32
Jarvis Hayes	83	83	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	4	-12	15.1	15.6	-0.57	14.1	17.4	-3.30

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	46	46	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.31	15	-11	26	14.5	14.6	-0.15	15.5	14.9	0.57
Paul Pierce	90	90	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-5	14	14.0	21.3	-7.27	15.5	11.1	4.32
Ricky Davis	74	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-3	10	14.4	15.1	-0.78	15.1	15.2	-0.09
Walter McCarty	59	57	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-2	8	15.4	13.2	2.18	13.8	17.0	-3.23
Mark Blount	77	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-3	10	14.2	15.7	-1.47	15.2	14.9	0.32
Brandon Hunter	33	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	2	0	13.7	15.0	-1.23	17.2	14.0	3.20
Jumaine Jones	3	3	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	7	-10	29.0	14.1	14.93	8.3	15.4	-7.04
Jiri Welsch	27	26	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	9	-14	15.2	14.3	0.90	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Chris Mihm	25	24	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	11	-18	14.5	14.5	-0.02	15.1	15.2	-0.04
Chucky Atkins	51	51	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.07	-11	15	-26	14.6	14.5	0.15	14.9	15.5	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.1,0.17,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.89,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	92.9%
NOH 88, OKC 92	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.74,0.64,0.94,0.95,1	92.8%
BOS 84, ATL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.47,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.79,0.84,1,1	92.7%