NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	86		Excitement	6.7 [516]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +11.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	90		Comeback	5.6 [414]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): -28.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zeljko Rebraca	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	59%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	20	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	14	71%	-0.02
Rick Brunson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	7	53%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.17	-0.10	0.01	26	30%	-0.25	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	18	55%	0.17	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	8	69%	0.17	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	13	46%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	15	52%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	12	37%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	24%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	27.2	14.8	23.1	1.8	33.4	126.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +47.1%

LAC -11.4%

POR +25.5%

LAC -12.7%

POR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.9	16.8	15.5	97.7	102.3	104.0
season	16.0	15.8		103.0	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	14.1	18.8	17.0	15.9
POR	17.9	16.6	15.5	17.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	48	49	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-7	10	15.4	16.4	-0.99	16.0	17.9	-1.85
Chris Kaman	44	41	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-5	6	17.0	14.8	2.14	17.0	16.7	0.30
Zeljko Rebraca	51	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-7	10	14.2	18.2	-4.02	16.5	17.3	-0.88
Quinton Ross	62	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-2	0	16.5	14.4	2.08	17.8	14.1	3.73
Elton Brand	70	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	0	-4	15.9	15.7	0.28	16.3	19.1	-2.82
Bobby Simmons	72	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	16.1	15.0	1.08	16.5	18.2	-1.72
Corey Maggette	48	47	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	9	-22	16.2	15.5	0.75	17.8	15.8	1.99
Marko Jaric	45	45	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	1	-6	15.6	16.2	-0.54	17.0	16.7	0.33

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	78	79	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-7	18	16.6	19.0	-2.44	16.3	12.3	3.96
Nick Van Exel	71	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.32	6	-2	8	16.3	18.9	-2.60	16.0	15.5	0.50
Damon Stoudamire	73	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	-1	6	16.2	19.7	-3.49	15.9	15.7	0.18
Theo Ratliff	65	63	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.37	-1	5	-6	16.9	16.6	0.37	16.1	15.4	0.62
Zach Randolph	47	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	6	-8	16.4	17.4	-0.98	14.7	17.4	-2.69
Richie Frahm	22	20	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	-1	6	20.3	15.7	4.64	16.1	15.8	0.34
Sebastian Telfair	22	25	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.19	0	4	-4	18.9	16.2	2.70	16.6	15.6	0.94
Joel Przybilla	48	51	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	1	2	16.7	17.0	-0.38	16.5	15.1	1.39
James Thomas	4	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	4	-4	12.2	17.1	-4.81	11.0	16.1	-5.06
Travis Outlaw	10	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	11	-18	19.0	16.6	2.44	12.3	16.3	-3.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 81, NYK 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	93.0%
WAS 90, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.1,0.17,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.89,0.98,1	92.9%
MIN 96, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.68,0.77,0.95,0.99,1	92.8%