NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Excitement	6.7 [493]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +18.9%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	3.9 [681]		LVP	Justin Reed (BOS): -6.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	11	59%	0.13	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	11	67%	0.14	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03	0.06	-0.09	-0.00	26	48%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Ronald Dupree	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.07	16	58%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Marko Jaric	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.14	0.01	17	58%	0.27	3	-0.08	9	56%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.00	13	62%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.09	0.02	11	65%	0.16	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Delonte West	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	10	64%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	4	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.8	26.2	16.4	23.5	2.4	37.5	135.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +44.9%

MIN -7.8%

BOS +0.5%

BOS +11.3%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BOS	NBA	MIN	BOS	NBA
this game	19.3	14.9	15.6	112.9	124.1	104.4
season	16.1	14.8		101.0	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.9		104.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.8	23.1	23.7	17.7	19.3
BOS	14.6	14.8	16.3	14.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Dupree	4	3	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.10	2	-9	11	24.0	19.1	4.94	21.3	14.7	6.63
Michael Olowokandi	42	42	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.09	7	-14	21	19.8	18.8	1.07	15.6	14.3	1.33
Marko Jaric	52	51	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.09	-4	-3	-1	19.1	19.6	-0.56	13.8	16.8	-3.00
Wally Szczerbiak	72	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-8	9	18.4	24.2	-5.83	14.8	15.5	-0.65
Rashad McCants	18	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	0	-7	19.1	19.3	-0.23	12.4	15.6	-3.18
Troy Hudson	53	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-4	1	19.5	18.9	0.62	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Kevin Garnett	79	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.34	-8	1	-9	19.4	18.5	0.85	14.8	16.7	-1.94
Eddie Griffin	33	31	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.19	-14	7	-21	19.7	19.0	0.66	16.8	13.8	2.93
Trenton Hassell	72	71	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.36	-9	2	-11	19.4	18.8	0.62	15.3	13.0	2.27

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	44	43	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.18	17	-10	27	16.2	13.5	2.64	20.4	18.2	2.18
Kendrick Perkins	49	50	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.21	15	-8	23	15.2	14.5	0.70	21.3	16.5	4.82
Delonte West	47	50	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-6	19	14.0	16.1	-2.12	19.4	19.1	0.26
Paul Pierce	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	1	5	14.8	16.1	-1.31	18.9	22.4	-3.52
Justin Reed	19	20	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	-4	15	12.8	15.6	-2.79	19.2	19.3	-0.06
Ricky Davis	66	69	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	1	5	15.2	13.9	1.33	19.7	17.5	2.21
Brian Scalabrine	20	20	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	7	-7	15.5	14.8	0.74	21.1	18.7	2.43
Orien Greene	28	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	14	-21	14.3	15.3	-0.99	15.0	21.4	-6.46
Marcus Banks	12	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	7	-7	16.0	14.8	1.24	23.3	18.6	4.70
Raef LaFrentz	29	32	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	11	-15	15.0	14.9	0.09	18.3	19.9	-1.52
Mark Blount	12	12	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.06	-10	17	-27	14.9	14.9	-0.03	16.5	19.8	-3.25
Tony Allen	13	13	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.10	-12	19	-31	14.8	15.0	-0.11	15.4	20.0	-4.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.68,0.77,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	92.8%
POR 79, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.44,0.55,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.69,0.63,0.94,0.99,1	91.6%
IND 95, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.78,0.95,1	91.2%