inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 79 Excitement7.3 [378] MVPNicolas Batum (POR): +12.5%
Washington Wizards 83 Comeback5.0 [157] LVPBrandon Roy (POR): -28.4%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nicolas Batum0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.130.050.05-0.031055%0.1200.0000%0.00
Joel Przybilla0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.002100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Sean Marks-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dante Cunningham-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.0020%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Patty Mills-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.021035%0.003-0.1000%0.00
Rudy Fernandez-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.0020%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Wesley Matthews-0.100,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.04-0.02928%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Andre Miller-0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17-0.07-0.100.001237%-0.052-0.118100%0.10
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.250,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25,-0.24,-0.25-0.06-0.150.041742%-0.221-0.03475%-0.01
Brandon Roy-0.280,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.06-0.200.022143%-0.103-0.1900%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cartier Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.06-0.01546%0.0800.00333%-0.07
Andray Blatche0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.07,0.080.080.040.060.031359%0.122-0.04683%0.01
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.01672%0.081-0.03683%0.01
Hilton Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.003100%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.010.001050%0.031-0.032100%0.00
Trevor Booker00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Al Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Yi Jianlian0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.0010%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Alonzo Gee0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.00337%-0.012-0.05250%-0.01
John Wall0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.13-0.00-0.021333%-0.044-0.074100%0.02
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.12-0.10-0.001643%-0.045-0.183100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.427.516.624.22.441.5139.8
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +59.9%
POR -2.2%
POR -23.6%
WAS +15.7%
WAS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORWASNBAPORWASNBA
this game17.415.315.589.894.3105.7
season16.515.1106.7100.9
opponent15.215.7108.7105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR16.318.818.616.117.4
WAS16.518.114.113.315.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dante Cunningham25260.17-0.670.84-0.037-111817.817.20.5219.113.85.36
Rudy Fernandez18200.09-0.590.67-0.158-122015.617.8-2.2316.315.11.24
Andre Miller5352-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-6817.217.7-0.5915.415.20.25
Patty Mills3030-0.12-0.380.27-0.03-3-1-217.717.20.4816.714.62.06
Marcus Camby1818-0.12-0.380.260.12-84-1219.117.02.1018.614.54.04
Sean Marks3231-0.13-0.370.23-0.10-1-3217.517.30.2313.216.5-3.32
LaMarcus Aldridge5959-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.342-6817.018.2-1.1715.215.7-0.47
Wesley Matthews5151-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.34-1-3217.716.90.7615.814.81.01
Nicolas Batum4647-0.520.02-0.54-0.37-51-617.217.6-0.3513.217.8-4.57
Brandon Roy7069-0.590.09-0.67-0.32-95-1417.815.62.2314.917.1-2.25
Joel Przybilla3837-0.620.12-0.74-0.27-128-2016.717.9-1.2414.416.0-1.57

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andray Blatche74730.61-0.110.710.378-41214.917.6-2.7417.914.83.12
Kirk Hinrich67670.59-0.090.690.368-41214.717.3-2.5517.616.70.88
Cartier Martin20180.52-0.020.540.298-41213.615.8-2.1917.417.40.00
John Wall73730.310.190.130.3104-415.813.32.5017.516.70.87
JaVale McGee56560.250.250.000.2213-216.213.82.3518.216.02.23
Gilbert Arenas54560.230.27-0.040.26-15-615.115.7-0.6416.718.6-1.90
Hilton Armstrong23230.180.32-0.150.035-1615.815.20.6016.817.6-0.82
Alonzo Gee34330.010.49-0.48-0.0522016.614.61.9818.516.71.76
Yi Jianlian2122-0.060.56-0.610.06-48-1215.515.30.1814.518.4-3.91
Al Thornton1819-0.160.66-0.810.05-711-1814.615.5-0.9215.917.8-1.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.44,0.55,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.69,0.63,0.94,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 115, DEN 1190.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.35,0.44,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.52,0.37,0.59,0.6,0.47,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.85,192.4%
DET 85, CHH 880.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.83,0.84,192.3%
MIL 104, MIA 1080.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.96,192.1%