NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	85		Excitement	7.6 [174]		MVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): +24.1%
Charlotte Hornets	88		Comeback	6.7 [142]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -25.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.05	-0.00	13	69%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Bison Dele	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	65%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.07
Grant Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.01,0.04,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	21	55%	0.09	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.07
Joe Dumars	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	13	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Don Reid	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	1	0%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.17	-0.09	-0.01	9	10%	-0.20	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.10	0.02	19	70%	0.24	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.1,0.07	0.07	-0.08	0.14	-0.01	12	48%	0.12	3	-0.05	7	57%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Shackleford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	59%	0.02	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.07
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	10	36%	-0.15	1	-0.06	5	20%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	27.2	15.6	29.7	2.5	32.5	132.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +44.5%

CHH +13.3%

DET -5.3%

DET -2.2%

DET -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHH	NBA	DET	CHH	NBA
this game	17.8	16.1	15.8	100.0	103.5	99.6
season	16.6	15.7		101.4	99.2
opponent	15.5	16.1		99.4	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.6	15.7	18.5	19.4	17.8
CHH	15.1	17.0	14.2	18.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Montross	46	43	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-6	9	19.2	16.1	3.10	15.3	17.0	-1.77
Jerome Williams	64	61	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.20	7	-10	17	17.9	17.4	0.43	17.0	14.0	2.97
Joe Dumars	62	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-6	9	17.0	19.7	-2.66	16.7	14.8	1.83
Don Reid	20	22	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	7	-17	18.3	17.6	0.78	15.4	16.4	-1.03
Grant Hill	73	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-5	7	18.4	13.7	4.76	16.4	14.2	2.19
Jerry Stackhouse	31	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	6	-15	17.3	18.0	-0.73	14.4	17.2	-2.81
Lindsey Hunter	69	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-4	5	18.4	14.8	3.62	16.8	12.6	4.26
Jud Buechler	22	22	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	4	-11	14.8	18.8	-3.96	12.9	17.3	-4.41
Bison Dele	38	41	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	2	-7	16.3	19.0	-2.69	16.8	15.5	1.26

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	44	43	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.18	12	-9	21	16.1	16.1	-0.03	20.3	15.2	5.11
Chuck Person	27	25	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-9	21	16.0	16.2	-0.19	18.0	17.6	0.35
David Wesley	60	60	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.38	2	1	1	15.9	16.6	-0.72	18.3	16.4	1.86
Bobby Phills	68	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.43	-3	6	-9	15.6	18.4	-2.85	17.9	17.1	0.87
Elden Campbell	72	72	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	5	-7	15.6	19.2	-3.66	17.6	18.4	-0.75
Brad Miller	13	13	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	-4	11	17.8	15.8	1.94	18.0	17.7	0.29
Ricky Davis	19	19	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	-3	9	18.8	15.4	3.43	17.4	17.9	-0.50
Charles Shackleford	5	6	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	1	1	23.4	15.7	7.72	14.0	18.0	-4.04
Chucky Brown	58	60	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.38	-10	13	-23	15.9	16.5	-0.57	17.6	18.1	-0.46
Corey Beck	22	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	5	-7	17.0	15.8	1.24	15.7	18.5	-2.79
Eldridge Recasner	37	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.14	-9	12	-21	15.5	16.6	-1.04	15.8	19.2	-3.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.83,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.26,0.32,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.85,1,1	92.4%
POR 79, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.44,0.55,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.69,0.63,0.94,0.99,1	92.3%
BOS 93, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.43,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.53,0.71,0.54,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.96,1	92.1%