NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	7.8 [247]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +25.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	5.5 [438]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -37.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.06	-0.02	10	79%	0.29	3	-0.07	14	86%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	7	56%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	14	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	20	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.38	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.24,-0.38,-0.38	-0.13	-0.23	0.01	17	36%	-0.27	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.16	0.03	24	59%	0.32	2	-0.07	11	73%	-0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	14	61%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.05	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	39%	-0.02	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	3.7	34.3	19.7	29.0	2.8	36.0	154.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +43.7%

BOS -3.3%

BOS -3.4%

CLE +11.1%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.3	100.0	107.4	106.0
season	15.5	16.1		105.7	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.7		103.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.2	15.5	17.0	16.9	15.5
CLE	13.9	15.8	12.3	19.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	8	9	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.05	6	-14	20	11.6	15.9	-4.28	11.9	15.6	-3.73
Marquis Daniels	4	4	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-10	12	15.0	15.6	-0.56	14.2	15.3	-1.06
Kendrick Perkins	65	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-5	2	15.7	15.2	0.51	15.6	14.7	0.92
Rasheed Wallace	26	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-7	6	14.8	15.8	-0.96	15.4	15.2	0.25
Rajon Rondo	81	84	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-9	10	15.2	17.7	-2.54	15.3	14.6	0.75
Kevin Garnett	74	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-2	-4	16.0	13.7	2.26	14.8	16.9	-2.14
Tony Allen	27	26	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	15.1	15.7	-0.65	16.7	14.7	2.02
Glen Davis	20	23	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	1	-10	14.5	15.8	-1.32	16.6	14.8	1.78
Ray Allen	85	85	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	1	-10	15.7	13.5	2.23	15.4	14.0	1.40
Paul Pierce	75	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	6	-20	16.2	12.7	3.49	14.7	17.7	-2.97

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	74	76	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.09	23	-15	38	15.1	15.7	-0.61	16.4	11.8	4.54
LeBron James	86	84	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	1	6	15.1	17.5	-2.44	15.3	18.1	-2.85
Antawn Jamison	72	71	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	-3	14	15.0	16.1	-1.08	16.0	14.1	1.90
Shaquille O'Neal	36	38	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.36	1	7	-6	16.9	14.2	2.72	15.9	15.3	0.65
Delonte West	51	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.29	-4	12	-16	17.2	13.0	4.13	15.4	15.7	-0.25
Anderson Varejao	44	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	5	-2	14.5	15.9	-1.35	15.0	16.0	-0.91
JJ Hickson	23	22	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	3	2	16.4	14.9	1.55	15.9	15.4	0.49
Anthony Parker	54	54	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	8	-8	13.9	17.1	-3.24	15.1	16.2	-1.06
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	11	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	9	-10	13.8	15.5	-1.64	13.0	15.9	-2.88
Jamario Moon	19	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	13	-18	14.4	15.5	-1.06	14.6	15.7	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.43,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.53,0.71,0.54,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 86, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.95,1	92.3%
DET 85, CHH 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.83,0.84,1	92.1%
IND 95, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.78,0.95,1	92.0%