NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	9.5 [74]		MVP	Sherman Douglas (NJN): +15.0%
New Jersey Nets	97		Comeback	7.4 [66]		LVP	Chris Mullin (IND): -37.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	56%	0.07	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Travis Best	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	43%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03	0.05	-0.08	0.01	19	69%	0.20	5	-0.24	13	92%	0.05
Jalen Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	8	39%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	10	45%	-0.05	1	-0.09	2	0%	-0.07
Antonio Davis	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	4	37%	-0.16	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.08
Rik Smits	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.19	0.02	-0.23	-0.02	13	64%	-0.08	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.28
Chris Mullin	-0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.38	-0.17	-0.21	-0.01	8	12%	-0.29	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	6	71%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	18	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Yinka Dare	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	5	57%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	3	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	10	20%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	18	43%	-0.06	3	-0.11	6	33%	-0.06
Chris Gatling	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	15	32%	-0.14	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.15,-0.2,-0.17,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	16	41%	-0.22	0	0.00	12	100%	0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	28.3	18.2	22.6	1.8	37.0	131.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -58.0%

NJN +38.3%

NJN +24.7%

NJN +42.9%

NJN +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.7	15.6	101.1	105.4	102.5
season	16.0	15.6		105.3	104.9
opponent	15.2	16.1		103.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.7	16.6	16.2	17.1	15.2
NJN	15.4	13.3	15.1	19.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark West	12	10	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-5	8	13.4	15.5	-2.10	16.1	15.7	0.42
Mark Jackson	50	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-2	2	15.0	15.5	-0.57	14.8	16.8	-1.99
Jalen Rose	23	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	2	-6	16.7	14.8	1.92	17.7	15.2	2.58
Chris Mullin	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.41	9	-11	20	14.9	15.7	-0.85	16.1	15.2	0.89
Dale Davis	70	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.43	6	-8	14	15.5	14.4	1.17	16.2	14.3	1.96
Antonio Davis	43	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-1	0	16.0	14.6	1.31	17.8	14.0	3.83
Reggie Miller	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-4	6	14.7	16.9	-2.17	15.2	17.7	-2.58
Fred Hoiberg	41	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	9	-20	15.8	14.8	0.99	15.2	16.1	-0.89
Rik Smits	63	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	10	-22	14.8	16.2	-1.42	13.7	20.0	-6.29
Travis Best	44	42	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.44	-2	0	-2	15.5	15.0	0.57	16.8	14.8	1.99

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Cage	32	33	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.24	19	-17	36	15.1	16.1	-1.02	15.3	15.2	0.14
Sherman Douglas	36	34	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.47	3	-1	4	15.9	15.6	0.22	15.7	15.0	0.72
Sam Cassell	67	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	1	0	16.0	14.9	1.16	15.6	14.3	1.30
Jayson Williams	77	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	1	0	15.6	16.1	-0.48	15.6	13.7	1.88
Lucious Harris	33	35	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	-6	14	15.2	16.0	-0.76	14.7	15.6	-0.85
Kevin Edwards	63	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.36	-6	8	-14	15.8	15.5	0.31	15.1	15.5	-0.45
Kendall Gill	69	73	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	0	2	15.4	16.7	-1.35	15.4	14.6	0.81
Yinka Dare	15	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	1	0	16.1	15.6	0.48	13.7	15.6	-1.88
David Benoit	17	17	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	9	-16	15.4	15.8	-0.46	13.2	15.7	-2.45
Chris Gatling	51	50	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.14	-12	14	-26	16.4	14.9	1.53	15.4	15.1	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 93, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.43,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.53,0.71,0.54,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.96,1	92.0%
LAC 86, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	91.7%
DET 85, CHH 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.83,0.84,1	91.7%