NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	81		Excitement	6.8 [497]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +25.2%
New York Knicks	87		Comeback	5.5 [153]		LVP	Jeff Teague (IND): -36.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson III	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rakeem Christmas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	9	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	17	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	6	33%	-0.10	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Paul George	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	22	49%	-0.01	6	-0.18	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.34,-0.34,-0.37,-0.37,-0.36,-0.36	-0.22	-0.12	0.02	15	29%	-0.15	7	-0.21	1	0%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.06	0.19	0.00	17	56%	0.32	2	-0.07	5	60%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	-0.00	-0.01	12	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.04	9	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	9	28%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	17	32%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	12	46%	-0.03	4	-0.12	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.0	27.1	15.4	22.4	2.4	31.7	122.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +55.2%

IND -5.8%

NYK +1.8%

IND -1.0%

IND -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	15.2	14.8	86.2	92.6	107.7
season	14.9	15.0		107.5	106.6
opponent	14.7	14.8		110.0	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.8	13.0	17.3	17.2	15.5
NYK	14.6	15.2	15.4	15.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	13	15	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-8	10	12.8	15.9	-3.06	12.7	15.6	-2.97
Thaddeus Young	72	70	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-6	6	15.8	14.5	1.34	16.3	11.8	4.47
CJ Miles	51	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-6	6	14.5	16.6	-2.12	15.2	15.1	0.12
Rakeem Christmas	35	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-2	-2	15.2	15.7	-0.49	14.0	15.8	-1.82
Rodney Stuckey	32	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-6	6	15.5	15.5	0.03	13.5	16.1	-2.65
Jeff Teague	63	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-2	-2	15.3	15.8	-0.44	15.7	14.1	1.57
Myles Turner	59	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-4	2	15.7	15.2	0.49	15.8	14.0	1.82
Glenn Robinson III	23	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	2	-10	15.9	15.4	0.52	12.7	16.0	-3.32
Paul George	74	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-4	2	15.5	15.5	-0.03	15.8	12.9	2.96
Monta Ellis	48	48	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.28	-12	6	-18	16.7	14.2	2.60	14.9	15.4	-0.50

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	78	79	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-3	12	15.4	14.1	1.25	15.6	14.7	0.97
Ron Baker	43	42	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	0	6	14.5	15.7	-1.19	15.7	15.3	0.43
Willy Hernangomez	57	57	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	-1	8	15.1	15.3	-0.23	16.4	14.0	2.44
Justin Holiday	38	38	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-6	18	15.2	15.1	0.09	16.6	14.7	1.85
Courtney Lee	56	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	-1	8	15.1	15.3	-0.17	15.9	14.7	1.23
Lance Thomas	66	66	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	11	-16	15.8	13.7	2.06	14.7	17.2	-2.47
Derrick Rose	62	62	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	7	-8	16.0	13.6	2.42	15.2	16.0	-0.74
Chasson Randle	16	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	9	-12	12.4	15.7	-3.28	13.6	15.8	-2.24
Kristaps Porzingis	54	53	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	8	-10	14.6	15.9	-1.29	14.5	16.8	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	93.0%
LAL 87, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.85,0.98,0.94,0.99,1	92.4%
LAC 73, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,1	92.3%