NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	73		Excitement	6.6 [468]		MVP	Baron Davis (LAC): +29.4%
Indiana Pacers	86		Comeback	4.2 [487]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -27.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.29	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.15	0.14	-0.00	19	66%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.02	14	48%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Mardy Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	7	35%	-0.05	3	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Al Thornton	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.20	-0.05	-0.01	15	16%	-0.18	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.26	-0.07	-0.06	19	24%	-0.09	5	-0.17	4	100%	0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.02	15	56%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.05	0.14	-0.02	19	42%	0.16	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	10	64%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.08	0.00	8	55%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	13	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	29.4	15.7	27.0	2.5	32.2	133.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.3%

IND +2.7%

LAC -12.7%

IND +22.3%

LAC -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	IND	NBA	LAC	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	15.3	78.5	90.5	106.0
season	15.5	14.2		101.9	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.2		105.3	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.8	17.1	16.7	16.2	15.9
IND	15.0	12.9	11.7	20.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	56	57	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.03	8	-21	29	15.9	15.9	-0.03	13.1	17.3	-4.24
Al Thornton	65	64	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-16	19	16.1	15.4	0.68	13.3	17.8	-4.49
Chris Kaman	76	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-11	9	15.7	16.7	-0.98	15.2	13.0	2.16
Marcus Camby	77	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-7	1	15.7	16.9	-1.25	15.0	13.6	1.35
Baron Davis	54	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-9	5	16.4	15.2	1.20	15.2	14.2	0.97
Steve Novak	8	9	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-3	-7	16.7	15.8	0.93	18.3	14.4	3.96
Sebastian Telfair	39	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-4	-5	15.2	16.4	-1.20	14.2	15.2	-0.97
Mardy Collins	8	8	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-8	3	11.7	16.3	-4.54	26.5	13.7	12.83
Craig Smith	33	34	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.12	-18	5	-23	16.8	15.4	1.42	13.3	15.6	-2.26
Eric Gordon	49	52	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.14	-22	9	-31	16.2	15.6	0.59	16.0	13.3	2.72

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	70	67	0.61	-0.12	0.73	0.12	17	-4	21	15.0	13.9	1.12	16.4	14.5	1.89
Dahntay Jones	76	73	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	2	9	14.7	14.8	-0.12	16.0	15.7	0.26
T.J. Ford	58	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	7	-1	15.8	13.1	2.68	15.5	16.5	-0.93
Brandon Rush	64	64	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	5	3	15.4	13.5	1.88	15.5	16.7	-1.19
Jeff Foster	44	42	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	2	9	16.4	13.3	3.05	14.2	17.3	-3.08
Luther Head	45	44	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	3	7	13.8	15.6	-1.88	16.6	15.2	1.39
Roy Hibbert	51	51	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	11	-9	13.3	16.4	-3.05	17.3	14.2	3.08
Earl Watson	37	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	6	1	13.1	15.8	-2.68	16.5	15.5	0.93
Josh McRoberts	5	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	16	-19	16.2	14.7	1.53	13.4	16.0	-2.65
Tyler Hansbrough	25	26	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	17	-21	13.9	15.0	-1.12	14.5	16.4	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 66, BOS 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.95,1,1,1	93.4%
CLE 88, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.89,0.99,1,0.98,1	93.0%
MIN 93, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.63,0.53,0.41,0.66,0.81,0.89,0.96,1,1	92.6%