inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 93 Excitement6.9 [422] MVPGlen Davis (ORL): +23.4%
Orlando Magic 102 Comeback10.7 [52] LVPAlexey Shved (MIN): -17.9%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Williams0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.00367%0.0600.0000%0.00
Dante Cunningham0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.001050%0.0400.0000%0.00
Luke Ridnour0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,00.04-0.030.00773%0.062-0.061100%0.01
Kevin Love-0.000,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,00.04-0.030.012055%0.052-0.05250%-0.01
Greg Stiemsma-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jose Juan Barea-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.021338%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nikola Pekovic-0.030,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.021846%0.084-0.12560%-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko-0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.001343%0.052-0.09475%-0.00
Ricky Rubio-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.0130%-0.083-0.0600%0.00
Alexey Shved-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.15-0.04-0.02819%-0.084-0.1000%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Glen Davis0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.170.080.021778%0.302-0.072100%0.01
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.070.12-0.001157%0.1900.001100%0.00
Gustavo Ayon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.040.09-0.023100%0.193-0.043100%0.03
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.020.031275%0.161-0.0500%0.00
Maurice Harkless0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.01383%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.010.011354%0.063-0.0700%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00350%0.042-0.0600%0.00
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.030.00540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.0030%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.17-0.03-0.031125%-0.094-0.082100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.92.530.315.420.52.523.4118.4
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +63.8%
ORL +4.5%
MIN -20.7%
ORL +4.6%
MIN -2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINORLNBAMINORLNBA
this game15.713.915.495.9104.1104.1
season15.615.5101.3100.3
opponent15.314.9107.7103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN14.713.518.516.715.7
ORL13.612.712.816.813.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Stiemsma14140.04-0.540.59-0.012-111314.415.9-1.5512.114.2-2.01
Derrick Williams22220.01-0.510.520.010-9914.716.0-1.2912.414.3-1.94
Alexey Shved5455-0.03-0.470.45-0.030-9917.513.34.1914.213.40.76
Luke Ridnour6364-0.09-0.410.32-0.245-141915.316.3-0.9914.712.32.41
Ricky Rubio3636-0.24-0.260.02-0.01-8-1-715.216.0-0.7311.715.1-3.48
Kevin Love7777-0.25-0.250.01-0.13-4-5115.416.6-1.2214.113.20.86
Nikola Pekovic7071-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.19-6-3-315.815.30.5314.412.41.96
Andrei Kirilenko7171-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.22-6-3-315.416.4-1.0114.512.12.42
Dante Cunningham3334-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.14-101-1116.515.21.2713.014.3-1.28
Jose Juan Barea4546-0.750.25-1.01-0.23-189-2715.216.1-0.8513.714.0-0.28

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JJ Redick59580.55-0.050.590.2211-21313.214.9-1.7514.916.9-1.99
Nikola Vucevic65640.53-0.030.550.3272514.712.22.5016.015.10.85
Glen Davis62610.480.010.470.2290915.211.53.7416.314.61.79
Arron Afflalo61610.350.150.200.3218-714.812.32.5715.516.0-0.46
Josh McRoberts48460.340.160.18-0.1015-62112.415.3-2.8816.514.91.60
E'Twaun Moore29290.260.240.01-0.1012-31511.414.9-3.4816.515.31.14
Jameer Nelson69680.240.26-0.010.33-312-1514.911.43.4815.316.5-1.14
Andrew Nicholson24240.190.31-0.11-0.0481711.214.7-3.5215.915.60.31
Gustavo Ayon3939-0.020.52-0.53-0.0209-912.115.1-2.9715.216.0-0.88
Kyle O'Quinn66-0.190.69-0.87-0.01-615-2112.813.9-1.108.316.2-7.83
Maurice Harkless2829-0.240.74-0.980.03-918-2715.713.12.6416.315.40.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.63,0.53,0.41,0.66,0.81,0.89,0.96,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 73, IND 860.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,192.6%
BOS 79, LAL 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.32,0.19,0.23,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.46,0.78,0.9,0.78,0.9,0.98,191.1%
PHX 98, DAL 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.48,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.83,191.1%