NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	8.2 [233]		MVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): +25.4%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	7.7 [263]		LVP	Vince Carter (DAL): -22.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	15	78%	0.26	7	-0.14	7	71%	-0.07
Marcus Morris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.15	-0.08	0.04	13	75%	0.11	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Miles Plumlee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	8	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Gerald Green	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	9	41%	-0.10	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Goran Dragic	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	18	33%	-0.13	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
PJ Tucker	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	7	35%	-0.07	3	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.11	0.01	23	70%	0.39	5	-0.14	7	57%	-0.08
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	-0.00	15	68%	0.30	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	8	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	13	38%	-0.13	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	3.4	31.6	15.7	26.3	2.6	43.4	145.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +74.5%

PHX -14.6%

PHX -4.4%

PHX -6.7%

DAL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.1	103.2	106.3	105.2
season	14.7	15.3		107.7	109.0
opponent	15.0	14.9		107.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.0	14.2	16.1	16.2	15.4
DAL	14.4	17.9	13.2	14.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	30	33	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.13	8	-11	19	15.9	15.1	0.76	15.7	14.5	1.21
Ish Smith	4	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-1	-1	23.0	15.0	7.96	18.6	14.7	3.87
Channing Frye	71	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.48	11	-14	25	14.1	19.2	-5.07	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Marcus Morris	26	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.07	-13	10	-23	18.5	14.2	4.24	16.4	14.4	2.05
Eric Bledsoe	83	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.49	6	-9	15	14.9	18.5	-3.57	14.7	16.5	-1.86
Goran Dragic	78	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-8	13	15.3	15.8	-0.47	15.4	12.6	2.78
PJ Tucker	65	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	5	-13	15.4	15.3	0.16	13.9	17.1	-3.21
Gerald Green	53	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.15	-11	8	-19	15.8	14.9	0.89	15.1	14.8	0.31
Markieff Morris	65	62	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	8	-19	15.1	15.9	-0.76	14.5	15.7	-1.21

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	59	59	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.39	13	-10	23	15.2	14.5	0.75	16.3	13.8	2.53
Brandan Wright	63	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-3	9	15.1	14.5	0.61	15.4	15.4	-0.06
Dirk Nowitzki	78	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	0	3	14.8	15.4	-0.51	15.2	16.2	-0.97
Monta Ellis	87	88	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	5	-7	14.8	16.4	-1.57	15.0	20.3	-5.30
Jae Crowder	5	5	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	-2	7	5.6	15.5	-9.86	15.6	15.4	0.23
Shawn Marion	66	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.55	-10	13	-23	15.7	13.1	2.59	15.2	15.8	-0.63
Vince Carter	41	41	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.09	10	-7	17	14.9	15.0	-0.15	16.2	14.8	1.39
Shane Larkin	10	9	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	0	3	16.5	14.8	1.75	19.1	15.0	4.12
Samuel Dalembert	30	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	7	-11	14.5	15.1	-0.59	15.2	15.5	-0.25
Jose Calderon	36	36	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	12	-21	14.5	15.2	-0.75	13.8	16.3	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.48,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.63,0.53,0.41,0.66,0.81,0.89,0.96,1,1	91.1%
CLE 93, MEM 98	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.85,1,1	90.3%
POR 96, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.2,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.67,0.84,0.9,0.91,1	90.3%