NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	87		Excitement	6.7 [500]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +19.2%
Phoenix Suns	95		Comeback	4.7 [661]		LVP	Maurice Evans (LAL): -11.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08	0.09	-0.03	-0.02	33	53%	0.13	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jordan Farmar	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	16	50%	0.10	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	3	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.14	-0.02	22	51%	0.26	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.01	16	61%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.01	13	55%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	17	53%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	7	31%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	3.7	28.1	19.5	24.3	3.7	32.0	139.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +10.3%

PHX +11.3%

PHX +7.7%

PHX +19.7%

PHX +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	18.0	13.3	15.4	94.6	103.3	104.5
season	15.3	13.8		106.3	112.2
opponent	16.0	14.9		105.0	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.8	18.3	17.3	18.7	18.0
PHX	12.2	13.0	14.7	13.4	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	11	12	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-12	16	16.6	18.2	-1.56	13.5	13.3	0.24
Kwame Brown	53	54	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.20	9	-17	26	18.5	17.3	1.27	14.4	11.7	2.65
Sasha Vujacic	25	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-9	10	18.6	17.8	0.86	12.8	13.4	-0.62
Smush Parker	22	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-6	4	16.2	18.6	-2.40	11.0	14.0	-2.95
Luke Walton	60	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-5	2	18.4	17.3	1.07	13.6	12.6	1.08
Ronny Turiaf	13	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	1	-10	20.3	17.6	2.67	12.7	13.4	-0.63
Jordan Farmar	58	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-6	4	18.7	16.8	1.93	14.4	11.4	3.03
Maurice Evans	33	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-3	-2	17.0	18.6	-1.62	11.7	14.1	-2.41
Andrew Bynum	26	26	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	0	-8	15.8	18.9	-3.12	11.3	14.1	-2.82
Kobe Bryant	82	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.21	-13	5	-18	17.9	18.9	-1.00	13.3	13.0	0.33
Lamar Odom	77	76	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.28	-12	4	-16	18.3	16.7	1.53	13.5	12.1	1.41

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	81	80	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-7	22	13.6	11.3	2.30	17.8	19.1	-1.23
Leandro Barbosa	66	66	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.23	12	-4	16	13.5	12.9	0.57	18.3	17.2	1.09
Raja Bell	74	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-1	10	13.8	11.2	2.58	18.0	18.1	-0.06
Shawn Marion	79	78	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	4	0	12.8	16.0	-3.15	17.5	20.9	-3.36
Steve Nash	75	76	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	1	6	13.8	11.2	2.52	18.7	14.7	4.02
Boris Diaw	47	48	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	2	4	12.9	13.7	-0.73	18.2	17.8	0.37
Kurt Thomas	7	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	14	-20	9.7	13.6	-3.87	16.9	18.1	-1.25
James Jones	31	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	15	-22	12.4	13.8	-1.37	17.4	18.3	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.85,0.98,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 81, NYK 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	92.4%
SAS 97, OKC 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.47,0.57,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1	92.2%
GSW 74, PHX 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.91,1	92.2%