NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	97		Excitement	7.0 [446]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +26.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	111		Comeback	3.0 [570]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -22.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	8	69%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	5	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	16	65%	0.19	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	10	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.00	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	19	47%	0.06	4	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Danny Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	18	49%	-0.02	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.17	0.04	25	65%	0.38	5	-0.12	13	77%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	6	69%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.06	0.00	11	71%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	73%	0.13	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.07	0.02	18	35%	-0.15	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.4	34.4	17.5	27.7	2.5	33.3	144.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +25.6%

SAS -0.1%

OKC +22.5%

OKC +0.3%

OKC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	OKC	NBA	SAS	OKC	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	14.9	104.3	118.1	105.1
season	15.7	14.4		109.0	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.7		104.4	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.7	15.8	16.5	16.1	16.3
OKC	15.3	13.0	13.0	17.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Anderson	14	13	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-19	24	12.8	16.9	-4.11	13.9	14.6	-0.71
Kevin Martin	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	10.5	16.4	-5.91	23.0	14.4	8.56
Boban Marjanovic	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	10.5	16.4	-5.91	23.0	14.4	8.56
Tim Duncan	21	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-9	4	17.2	16.0	1.18	14.8	14.4	0.31
Manu Ginobili	42	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.24	5	-19	24	15.7	16.8	-1.12	15.0	14.2	0.79
Patty Mills	32	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-15	16	14.9	17.0	-2.05	14.9	14.4	0.52
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	77	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-7	0	16.3	16.0	0.35	14.5	14.7	-0.21
David West	51	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-16	18	15.1	17.7	-2.62	15.0	14.1	0.85
Tony Parker	61	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	1	-16	17.0	14.9	2.05	14.4	14.9	-0.52
Danny Green	52	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	4	-22	16.6	15.8	0.81	14.3	14.8	-0.49
Boris Diaw	42	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	-3	-8	16.8	15.8	1.01	13.8	15.1	-1.28
Kawhi Leonard	76	78	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.06	-20	6	-26	17.2	12.3	4.88	14.4	15.0	-0.56

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	70	69	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.06	21	-7	28	14.7	14.1	0.55	16.6	15.4	1.16
Kevin Durant	86	85	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.13	16	-2	18	14.4	15.5	-1.06	16.2	16.9	-0.65
Russell Westbrook	73	71	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.01	19	-5	24	14.4	15.1	-0.79	17.1	13.8	3.28
Enes Kanter	55	55	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.12	9	5	4	14.9	14.0	0.95	15.7	17.2	-1.49
Randy Foye	16	17	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	8	-2	17.9	13.8	4.03	16.3	16.3	0.02
Dion Waiters	58	59	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.09	6	8	-2	14.2	15.1	-0.89	15.7	17.4	-1.69
Serge Ibaka	55	54	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	9	-4	14.0	15.3	-1.37	17.2	15.0	2.25
Andre Roberson	41	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	18	-22	14.3	14.7	-0.38	17.2	15.7	1.49
Cameron Payne	8	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	15	-16	14.0	14.6	-0.58	11.0	16.8	-5.85
Nick Collison	8	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	21	-28	14.5	14.5	-0.03	11.5	16.7	-5.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.47,0.57,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 101, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.6,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.98,1,1	92.7%
LAC 73, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,1	92.2%
CLE 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	92.2%