NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	82		Excitement	7.4 [341]		MVP	Zeljko Rebraca (DET): +8.9%
Detroit Pistons	86		Comeback	4.7 [281]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -44.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.03	4	-0.12	6	83%	-0.00
Eric Snow	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.02	6	44%	-0.11	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.11	0.01	8	58%	-0.01	5	-0.19	8	75%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.44	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.35,-0.35,-0.32,-0.42,-0.42,-0.44	-0.27	-0.18	-0.01	31	34%	-0.33	3	-0.11	14	79%	0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.10	-0.02	10	45%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.01	20	57%	0.10	3	-0.08	11	73%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	17	47%	0.00	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	31.4	15.7	27.0	1.6	34.6	134.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +57.0%

PHI -10.6%

PHI -5.5%

DET +9.2%

PHI -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.4	14.8	15.6	83.7	86.9	102.3
season	15.9	15.7		99.3	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		99.8	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.8	13.2	14.3	14.5	14.4
DET	13.6	14.5	15.1	16.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	6	5	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-7	10	10.5	14.7	-4.15	18.2	14.7	3.54
Matt Harpring	58	59	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-10	16	14.3	14.6	-0.30	15.1	14.5	0.53
Dikembe Mutombo	83	85	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.40	7	-11	18	14.1	16.2	-2.13	15.0	13.6	1.39
Eric Snow	80	81	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-8	12	13.9	16.8	-2.92	15.0	13.9	1.09
Samuel Dalembert	17	17	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	6	-16	15.8	14.1	1.65	14.5	14.9	-0.44
Corie Blount	76	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	0	-4	14.6	13.7	0.86	14.6	15.7	-1.06
Derrick McKey	39	38	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	7	-18	15.9	13.4	2.58	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Speedy Claxton	36	38	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	6	-16	14.1	14.5	-0.41	14.0	15.4	-1.40
Allen Iverson	95	96	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	1	-6	14.5	10.7	3.85	14.8	15.7	-0.85

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	52	53	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-11	26	14.8	14.9	-0.02	15.9	12.6	3.32
Chucky Atkins	63	64	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-1	6	15.3	13.9	1.40	14.1	14.9	-0.79
Ben Wallace	82	82	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	0	4	14.5	16.7	-2.25	14.8	12.3	2.49
Clifford Robinson	86	83	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	1	2	15.0	13.9	1.05	13.7	18.0	-4.25
Jon Barry	46	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	5	-6	15.4	14.4	0.99	14.0	14.7	-0.69
Jerry Stackhouse	81	79	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	3	-2	14.7	15.3	-0.60	13.7	17.5	-3.82
Zeljko Rebraca	18	19	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	1	2	15.3	14.7	0.60	17.5	13.7	3.82
Damon Jones	32	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	4	-4	13.7	15.4	-1.61	15.7	13.8	1.88
Michael Curry	35	35	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	14	-24	14.8	14.9	-0.06	12.5	15.4	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 74, PHX 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.91,1	93.2%
MIA 66, BOS 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.95,1,1,1	93.2%
IND 102, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.34,0.4,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	93.2%