NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	7.1 [399]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +28.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	3.3 [328]		LVP	George Hill (IND): -15.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.17,0.24,0.24	0.22	0.08	0.06	30	67%	0.35	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
CJ Watson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Orlando Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	13	52%	0.11	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
David West	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	14	43%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	8	30%	-0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.13	0.16	0.01	19	61%	0.28	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.18	0.01	17	59%	0.31	4	-0.11	10	100%	0.07
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	57%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.7	28.1	14.7	26.8	1.8	37.3	132.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +17.4%

POR +24.9%

IND -2.5%

POR +8.3%

POR +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	POR	NBA	IND	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	15.1	102.0	108.2	105.2
season	15.8	15.1		102.7	109.6
opponent	14.8	15.2		106.5	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.3	16.0	14.9	13.2	14.8
POR	14.7	14.7	14.5	13.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	8	8	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-7	10	16.6	14.6	1.98	16.5	14.1	2.41
David West	69	69	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.24	7	-11	18	14.4	15.7	-1.27	13.8	15.3	-1.50
Lance Stephenson	62	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	1	-6	14.5	15.4	-0.92	14.0	14.8	-0.76
Orlando Johnson	29	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-5	6	15.1	14.7	0.43	13.9	14.4	-0.55
Ian Mahinmi	24	22	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	1	-6	15.1	14.7	0.37	15.8	13.9	1.92
Roy Hibbert	76	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-5	6	14.7	15.1	-0.37	13.9	15.8	-1.92
George Hill	86	85	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-7	10	14.4	17.5	-3.14	14.0	16.1	-2.07
Paul George	79	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-3	2	14.7	15.3	-0.61	13.9	16.1	-2.19
Luis Scola	31	29	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	7	-18	15.7	14.4	1.27	15.3	13.8	1.50
CJ Watson	36	34	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.14	-13	9	-22	16.1	14.1	2.01	16.3	13.2	3.03

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Freeland	29	30	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.21	12	-8	20	16.1	13.5	2.58	16.9	13.9	2.95
Damian Lillard	79	81	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.23	9	-5	14	13.9	16.1	-2.19	14.4	16.4	-1.94
Mo Williams	41	43	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	-4	12	16.3	12.8	3.53	16.3	13.7	2.64
Thomas Robinson	22	22	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	-3	10	15.9	13.8	2.09	15.7	14.5	1.19
Dorell Wright	23	24	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	-1	6	16.0	13.7	2.30	16.0	14.4	1.63
Nicolas Batum	74	75	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.27	-3	7	-10	13.8	15.7	-1.94	14.6	15.5	-0.91
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	78	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	7	-10	13.8	15.9	-2.09	14.5	15.7	-1.19
Wesley Matthews	76	76	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.28	-7	11	-18	13.7	16.4	-2.74	14.3	16.3	-1.96
Earl Watson	1	1	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	4	-4	5.0	14.4	-9.38	3.0	14.9	-11.92
Robin Lopez	69	70	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.17	-8	12	-20	13.5	16.1	-2.58	13.9	16.9	-2.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.34,0.4,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 95, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.78,0.96,0.97,1,1,1	93.8%
MIA 102, MEM 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.28,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.2%
PHI 82, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	93.2%