NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	104		Excitement	7.9 [265]		MVP	CJ McCollum (ATL): +15.3%
Atlanta Hawks	115		Comeback	21.5 [136]		LVP	Nolan Traore (BKN): -36.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Noah Clowney	0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	60%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Terance Mann	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.00	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Danny Wolf	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Drake Powell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Egor D�min	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.02	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.11	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.00	19	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nolan Traore	-0.37	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.27,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.16	-0.24	-0.03	14	34%	-0.18	5	-0.19	4	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.15	0.00	12	57%	0.25	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	7	81%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.00	-0.02	11	71%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,0.1,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.11	0.02	22	53%	0.28	4	-0.18	5	80%	0.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.03	12	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	0.0	30.8	0.0	27.5	0.0	32.6	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +42.9%

ATL +4.9%

ATL +17.8%

BKN -12.6%

BKN -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	ATL	NBA	BKN	ATL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.4	14.2	108.3	119.8	113.4
season	14.9	13.3		108.0	113.1
opponent	14.4	14.4		112.3	117.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.3	15.7	16.0	17.5	15.5
ATL	13.7	15.6	14.7	13.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Wolf	68	67	0.55	-1.05	1.60	0.08	16	-27	43	15.1	16.5	-1.40	15.7	11.4	4.28
Terance Mann	55	54	0.48	-0.98	1.47	0.19	10	-21	31	15.5	15.6	-0.09	16.0	12.5	3.49
Ochai Agbaji	59	58	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.22	8	-19	27	15.2	16.1	-0.93	16.0	12.1	3.90
Noah Clowney	73	72	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.13	10	-21	31	15.8	14.5	1.36	15.3	12.0	3.31
Day'Ron Sharpe	62	62	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.12	9	-20	29	15.4	15.8	-0.39	15.8	11.9	3.87
Drake Powell	66	64	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.21	-1	-10	9	15.4	15.7	-0.28	15.5	12.3	3.14
Egor D�min	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-6	1	15.9	13.8	2.06	14.4	14.5	-0.08
Michael Porter Jr.	85	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-5	-1	15.6	14.9	0.68	14.7	12.4	2.34
Nic Claxton	76	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-1	-9	16.1	13.1	3.04	14.4	14.6	-0.23
Nolan Traore	86	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	-2	-7	15.9	12.2	3.70	14.4	14.6	-0.13

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	96	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	14.4	0.0	14.44	15.5	0.0	15.51
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	96	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	14.4	0.0	14.44	15.5	0.0	15.51
Onyeka Okongwu	75	76	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	1	9	14.4	14.6	-0.23	16.1	13.1	3.04
Jalen Johnson	85	84	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	5	1	14.7	12.4	2.34	15.5	15.6	-0.08
Dyson Daniels	81	80	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.22	4	7	-3	14.6	13.4	1.23	15.7	14.4	1.36
Zaccharie Risacher	73	72	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	9	-7	14.6	13.8	0.80	14.8	17.7	-2.93
Mouhamed Gueye	70	70	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.07	-6	17	-23	15.2	12.5	2.71	14.5	18.3	-3.78
Jock Landale	60	61	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.11	-7	18	-25	15.5	12.6	2.97	14.9	16.5	-1.58
Corey Kispert	22	22	-0.59	1.09	-1.67	-0.12	-16	27	-43	19.1	13.1	6.04	16.7	15.2	1.52
Gabe Vincent	47	48	-0.60	1.10	-1.71	-0.16	-15	26	-41	15.6	13.3	2.35	15.4	15.6	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.34,0.29,0.19,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.68,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 98, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.68,0.74,1	90.9%
UTA 92, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.31,0.54,0.68,0.91,1	90.8%
LAL 95, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.28,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.68,0.99,1	89.9%