NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	92		Excitement	7.4 [310]		MVP	Jason Hart (UTA): +17.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	98		Comeback	35.0 [40]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -27.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Hart	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.10	-0.02	6	71%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	3	90%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.06	0.04	0.03	12	69%	0.16	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	7	55%	0.12	5	-0.15	8	87%	0.04
CJ Miles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24	-0.09	-0.17	-0.02	13	40%	-0.06	3	-0.18	4	50%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27	-0.09	-0.17	0.01	24	42%	-0.11	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.03	0.00	14	69%	0.19	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.04
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.07	0.05	11	68%	0.21	2	-0.05	16	81%	0.05
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.13	0.13	-0.03	0.15	0.00	13	46%	0.20	2	-0.07	11	82%	0.07
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	13	57%	0.06	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	8	33%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	0.7	31.8	15.0	29.1	1.8	41.0	148.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -15.3%

CHA +37.5%

UTA -3.6%

CHA +38.2%

UTA -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHA	NBA	UTA	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	15.4	95.8	102.1	105.7
season	15.5	15.8		111.2	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.0		107.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.9	13.8	13.4	14.9	14.7
CHA	16.6	15.6	17.3	12.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	51	50	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.12	7	-13	20	14.8	14.5	0.35	16.1	14.5	1.54
Paul Millsap	24	26	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.03	5	-11	16	15.5	14.4	1.15	16.5	14.9	1.61
Gordan Giricek	8	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-10	14	16.9	14.5	2.40	13.7	15.5	-1.83
CJ Miles	15	15	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-6	6	16.2	14.4	1.80	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Kyrylo Fesenko	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-6	6	16.6	14.5	2.12	13.6	15.5	-1.95
Carlos Boozer	86	86	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	1	-8	14.7	14.8	-0.14	15.5	14.2	1.25
Andrei Kirilenko	82	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	2	-10	14.2	17.3	-3.05	15.4	15.0	0.38
Jason Hart	54	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	0	-6	14.4	15.1	-0.70	14.9	15.8	-0.88
Ronnie Brewer	77	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	3	-12	14.8	14.2	0.58	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Deron Williams	75	73	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.39	-16	10	-26	14.1	16.6	-2.42	15.1	16.0	-0.89

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	67	69	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.39	15	-9	24	14.7	16.7	-1.96	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Jason Richardson	72	72	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.38	15	-9	24	14.5	17.9	-3.40	14.8	14.4	0.35
Matt Carroll	29	30	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-3	12	15.9	15.1	0.77	15.5	14.3	1.20
Gerald Wallace	78	76	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	-2	10	15.2	15.8	-0.56	14.9	14.0	0.86
Nazr Mohammed	76	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	5	-4	14.9	16.9	-2.06	15.2	12.6	2.62
Jared Dudley	22	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	7	-8	13.8	15.8	-1.95	13.1	15.2	-2.07
Ryan Hollins	17	16	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	9	-12	18.6	14.6	3.97	13.7	14.9	-1.11
Jeff McInnis	44	43	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.07	-6	12	-18	16.4	14.4	2.05	14.2	15.1	-0.89
Emeka Okafor	75	74	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.06	-8	14	-22	16.1	12.7	3.34	14.9	13.9	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.31,0.54,0.68,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 99, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.41,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.64,0.77,0.92,1	91.8%
DAL 80, CLE 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.73,1	90.6%
MIL 102, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.54,0.78,0.73,1	90.6%