NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	80		Excitement	8.2 [204]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (CLE): +4.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Comeback	6.2 [368]		LVP	Bob Sura (CLE): -19.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Dreiling	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stevin Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.06	-0.01	16	45%	0.11	3	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01
Martin Muursepp	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.10	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.06
Robert Pack	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	14	62%	0.08	5	-0.16	9	89%	0.05
A.C. Green	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	9	50%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Harper	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	14	40%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.02	11	59%	0.13	2	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	12	52%	0.09	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.06
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	17	46%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.05
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	65%	0.12	1	-0.11	3	67%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	10	42%	-0.12	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	28.2	15.7	24.4	2.7	40.4	137.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +12.6%

CLE +5.4%

CLE +2.9%

CLE +27.1%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CLE	NBA	DAL	CLE	NBA
this game	17.4	17.7	15.6	96.4	103.7	104.4
season	15.9	17.8		99.1	102.1
opponent	16.1	15.7		100.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.9	17.2	16.0	17.7	17.4
CLE	18.0	17.9	18.3	16.6	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	53	51	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.14	-2	-2	0	19.0	14.6	4.39	17.7	17.6	0.15
Stevin Smith	2	2	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-8	12	14.0	17.5	-3.52	11.5	17.8	-6.35
Jamie Watson	27	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	20.4	16.0	4.46	19.7	16.8	2.88
Greg Dreiling	24	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-7	10	15.2	18.4	-3.19	18.7	17.2	1.43
Ed O'Bannon	6	5	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	3	-10	18.2	17.4	0.79	14.8	17.9	-3.08
A.C. Green	66	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-9	14	17.6	16.8	0.77	17.7	17.7	0.01
Michael Finley	77	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.44	3	-7	10	17.4	18.2	-0.79	17.9	14.8	3.08
Robert Pack	57	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-4	4	16.3	19.9	-3.62	16.5	20.2	-3.74
Martin Muursepp	30	31	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.20	-14	10	-24	16.0	18.3	-2.30	17.1	18.0	-0.91
Derek Harper	73	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.38	-9	5	-14	17.4	18.0	-0.64	17.9	15.4	2.57

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	78	80	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.50	9	-5	14	17.6	19.7	-2.05	17.5	15.3	2.18
Terrell Brandon	74	75	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.39	9	-5	14	17.6	18.3	-0.65	18.1	11.5	6.57
Bob Sura	46	51	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-5	14	17.4	18.0	-0.59	18.4	15.9	2.49
Danny Ferry	63	64	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	0	4	17.7	17.6	0.17	18.0	15.5	2.47
Tyrone Hill	70	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	3	-2	18.0	15.9	2.06	17.6	16.3	1.29
Vitaly Potapenko	28	28	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	-1	6	17.5	17.8	-0.29	16.0	18.1	-2.11
Donny Marshall	11	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	8	-12	18.8	17.5	1.30	15.2	17.8	-2.60
Antonio Lang	35	33	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.03	-13	17	-30	17.5	17.8	-0.36	14.8	19.2	-4.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 90, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.38,0.45,0.68,0.92,1	91.1%
MIL 92, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.45,0.37,0.57,0.92,1	91.0%
POR 89, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.55,0.75,0.92,1	90.9%