NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	90		Excitement	8.5 [191]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +27.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	95		Comeback	5.0 [362]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (BKN): -9.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	18	59%	0.13	4	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Deron Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.01	18	50%	0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.05
Jerry Stackhouse	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Childress	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	16	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	39%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.28	0.28	0.06	0.23	0.01	15	62%	0.35	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	13	61%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	15	47%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.06
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	11	56%	0.06	3	-0.10	19	37%	-0.32
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	30.4	16.4	24.6	2.4	39.6	139.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +45.1%

BKN -10.9%

BKN -6.2%

LAL +16.7%

LAL +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	LAL	NBA	BKN	LAL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.2	15.4	98.9	103.3	104.1
season	16.5	14.9		106.5	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.7	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.2	15.0	17.2	16.9	16.3
LAL	15.8	15.7	15.5	13.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
MarShon Brooks	7	7	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.15	4	-9	13	16.3	16.3	-0.02	16.0	15.1	0.89
CJ Watson	32	33	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-10	15	18.3	15.2	3.04	16.8	14.3	2.47
Reggie Evans	33	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-5	5	17.2	15.8	1.32	16.8	14.2	2.62
Andray Blatche	20	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-5	5	17.7	15.9	1.85	16.3	14.9	1.44
Gerald Wallace	60	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-6	7	16.1	16.8	-0.71	14.0	17.3	-3.37
Kris Humphries	55	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-2	-1	15.7	17.2	-1.51	14.3	16.5	-2.21
Jerry Stackhouse	25	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-4	3	16.0	16.4	-0.42	18.0	13.9	4.11
Brook Lopez	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	0	-5	15.9	17.7	-1.85	14.9	16.3	-1.44
Joe Johnson	81	80	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.44	-8	3	-11	16.1	18.3	-2.24	14.6	18.7	-4.02
Deron Williams	71	72	-0.96	0.46	-1.41	-0.43	-18	13	-31	16.1	17.1	-1.02	14.7	16.8	-2.08

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	74	74	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.35	20	-15	35	14.5	18.1	-3.58	16.3	16.4	-0.06
Kobe Bryant	74	74	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.35	20	-15	35	14.5	18.1	-3.58	16.3	16.4	-0.06
Chris Duhon	47	45	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.51	6	-1	7	16.3	14.0	2.21	17.2	15.5	1.68
Metta World Peace	77	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	-2	9	14.6	18.0	-3.38	15.9	18.3	-2.34
Dwight Howard	81	81	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.34	-4	9	-13	14.7	19.0	-4.35	15.9	19.4	-3.47
Antawn Jamison	15	14	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	7	-9	18.0	14.6	3.38	18.3	15.9	2.34
Jordan Hill	29	27	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	11	-17	18.4	13.7	4.73	17.5	15.8	1.67
Darius Morris	45	46	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.16	-1	6	-7	14.0	16.3	-2.21	15.5	17.2	-1.68
Jodie Meeks	18	17	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.01	-15	20	-35	18.1	14.5	3.58	16.4	16.3	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.38,0.45,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.99,1	91.1%
NYK 94, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.54,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.84,1	91.1%
DAL 80, CLE 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.73,1	91.1%