NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	8.9 [113]		MVP	Corie Blount (LAL): +5.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	2.6 [473]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -21.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	90%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	19	59%	0.20	4	-0.24	11	82%	0.08
Chris Childs	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	7	73%	0.09	3	-0.15	8	100%	0.06
Chris Mills	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	8	40%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
John Starks	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.12	-0.02	10	35%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	10	36%	-0.09	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.05
Allan Houston	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.09	0.00	13	29%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	11	58%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	10	52%	-0.02	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.03
Robert Horry	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	0.02	8	65%	0.00	2	-0.07	10	90%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	58%	0.01	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	0.01	9	46%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.05
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	10	46%	-0.07	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	9	19%	-0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	12	52%	-0.14	2	-0.07	9	33%	-0.21

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	28.6	17.3	29.7	2.5	45.3	152.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +19.6%

NYK -10.1%

LAL +20.5%

LAL +23.3%

NYK -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAL	NBA	NYK	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.4	15.6	94.9	101.0	102.5
season	15.7	14.8		100.4	110.0
opponent	15.6	16.3		102.6	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.8	14.6	16.5	14.6	14.9
LAL	13.3	18.1	12.3	14.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	27	27	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.06	6	-11	17	14.6	15.0	-0.38	15.8	13.8	1.95
Charlie Ward	41	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-4	3	14.9	14.9	0.02	13.1	15.2	-2.10
Allan Houston	63	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	0	-5	14.6	15.4	-0.77	13.3	16.3	-3.07
Larry Johnson	65	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	1	-7	15.0	14.5	0.52	14.1	14.9	-0.82
Chris Mills	50	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-1	-3	14.9	14.8	0.10	14.9	13.8	1.14
John Starks	37	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-3	1	15.1	14.8	0.30	16.0	13.4	2.54
Chris Childs	58	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	14.9	14.9	-0.02	15.2	13.1	2.10
Patrick Ewing	78	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	3	-11	14.8	15.1	-0.35	13.7	16.7	-3.04
Charles Oakley	76	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.49	-1	-4	3	15.0	14.4	0.57	14.6	13.7	0.88

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	75	75	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.36	16	-11	27	13.2	18.1	-4.86	15.5	13.0	2.47
Robert Horry	82	82	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-3	11	14.4	14.2	0.21	15.0	14.5	0.48
Eddie Jones	66	69	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-4	13	14.4	14.2	0.17	14.3	16.1	-1.81
Nick Van Exel	67	69	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-3	11	13.9	15.5	-1.59	14.9	14.8	0.15
Shaquille O'Neal	55	57	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	-2	9	15.0	13.5	1.52	15.0	14.7	0.35
Derek Fisher	31	30	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	8	-11	15.5	13.9	1.59	14.8	14.9	-0.15
Elden Campbell	49	48	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	11	-17	13.8	14.9	-1.10	14.3	15.4	-1.08
Kobe Bryant	38	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	11	-17	15.2	13.8	1.33	15.2	14.7	0.51
Corie Blount	27	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	13	-21	15.8	13.8	1.95	14.6	15.0	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.54,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.65,0.77,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.62,0.45,0.44,0.73,1	92.2%
LAC 98, SEA 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.27,0.45,0.55,0.36,0.85,1	92.0%
TOR 73, DET 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.64,0.45,0.84,0.91,1	91.4%