NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	73		Excitement	8.9 [117]		MVP	Ben Gordon (DET): +37.4%
Detroit Pistons	76		Comeback	2.4 [511]		LVP	Alan Anderson (TOR): -47.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gray	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	10	55%	0.12	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Gary Forbes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.21	5	-0.19	4	75%	0.01
Ed Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.02	15	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Solomon Alabi	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.18,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	9	25%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Uzoh	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	9	25%	-0.12	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Alan Anderson	-0.48	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.48	-0.16	-0.33	-0.01	12	17%	-0.41	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.38,0.49,0.37	0.37	0.10	0.27	0.00	11	63%	0.40	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.04
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	17	47%	0.03	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Greg Monroe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	9	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	7	35%	-0.03	2	-0.07	6	83%	-0.03
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	21%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.03
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	8	45%	-0.02	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	29.9	16.7	25.4	2.7	40.0	142.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +20.7%

DET +21.4%

TOR -14.0%

DET +21.8%

DET +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.6	81.1	84.4	102.8
season	16.5	16.3		98.9	99.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.4	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.6	16.2	17.1	16.2	16.5
DET	16.1	17.3	14.2	14.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	40	40	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.04	5	-8	13	16.6	16.4	0.21	17.0	14.2	2.85
Gary Forbes	31	31	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-8	13	16.8	16.4	0.47	16.9	14.7	2.14
DeMar DeRozan	52	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	0	-3	16.8	16.1	0.70	15.4	15.6	-0.26
Amir Johnson	28	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	5	-13	16.4	16.6	-0.20	14.9	15.7	-0.78
Aaron Gray	32	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	4	-11	16.7	16.4	0.29	15.6	15.4	0.25
Solomon Alabi	45	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-7	11	16.2	16.8	-0.62	15.8	15.2	0.62
Linas Kleiza	43	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-6	9	16.6	16.4	0.18	15.6	15.4	0.20
Ed Davis	54	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-3	3	16.6	16.5	0.06	14.6	16.7	-2.10
Ben Uzoh	59	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	5	-13	16.4	16.8	-0.47	14.7	16.9	-2.14
Alan Anderson	66	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.47	-6	3	-9	16.3	17.1	-0.75	15.2	16.3	-1.18

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	65	65	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-3	9	14.9	16.9	-1.96	16.8	15.8	1.07
Brandon Knight	61	59	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-8	19	14.6	17.3	-2.67	16.7	16.2	0.47
Tayshaun Prince	67	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	-1	5	15.3	16.1	-0.83	16.4	16.8	-0.33
Jonas Jerebko	42	42	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.47	-1	4	-5	15.2	15.7	-0.52	16.2	16.8	-0.55
Ben Gordon	51	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.44	-6	9	-15	16.0	14.8	1.23	16.4	16.7	-0.33
Jason Maxiell	37	37	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	-5	13	14.7	16.0	-1.25	16.7	16.4	0.24
Rodney Stuckey	60	62	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	4	-5	15.7	15.0	0.70	16.6	16.4	0.26
Will Bynum	8	8	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	1	1	16.9	15.3	1.55	15.6	16.6	-1.00
Ben Wallace	25	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	6	-9	16.9	14.9	1.96	15.8	16.8	-1.07
Charlie Villanueva	34	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	8	-13	17.0	14.5	2.51	16.9	16.3	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.64,0.45,0.84,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.99,1	93.2%
CHI 80, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.89,0.96,1	92.9%
DET 85, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.29,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.39,0.62,0.54,0.94,0.99,1	92.4%